The Logical-Invest monthly newsletter for December 2016

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Special Topic: IRA investment using QuantTrader

Logical Invest
Investment Outlook
December 2016

Our top year-to-date strategies:

SPY, the S&P500 ETF, returned 9.77%, year-to-date.


  • Enhancement of the Treasury hedge in our strategies (link).


Market comment:

Presidents change, markets change and so do we.

As our subscribers know well, Treasuries have been a cornerstone of our strategies. For the last few months many investors remained sceptical as 0% interest rates meant there was only one way for rates to go: Up. Although the logic has merit, markets often defy common sense and with the help of central banks the unthinkable became a reality: negative interest rates. Adding Treasuries to one’s portfolio proved to be an excellent strategy, post 2009.

We still believe the 30-year Treasury etf  (TLT) is an excellent diversifier for our strategies but recent developments convinced us that alternative hedging instruments are worth pursuing.

For that reason we are changing our methodology to allow the use of inflation protected treasuries (TIPS) as well as well as our Bond Rotation strategy itself (BRS), as hedges to our equity portfolios. As an example, our Universal Investment strategy will allocate a percentage of assets to SPY and the rest to either TLT or TIP based on TLT vs TIP rules-based evaluation. Strategies like the Global Market Rotation will hedge their equity part with the BRS strategy as a whole. You can find a more detailed explanation of the new methodology in this article.

This month was a difficult one for many of our strategies because of the simultaneous drop in treasuries, gold and non-U.S. equity markets as the US$ surged about 4.5% compared to major foreign currencies.  GMRS lost 8% this month alone, followed by the BUG (leveraged version) at -6% due to the TLT and GLD corrections. The World Top 4 strategy also corrected at -5.77% and is now up 10.86% year to date.

Our Gold and Bond strategies outperformed their respective assets: The Gold-USD strategy managed a 2.5% increase while our Bond strategy BRS remained flat at 0.35% despite the drop in bond prices.

As traders ourselves we monitor the markets and if need be, update our models to cope with changing environments.

We wish you a healthy and profitable December.

Logical Invest, December 1, 2016

Strategy performance overview:

Visit our site for daily updated performance tables.
Logical Invest Performance December 1 2016 IRA investment

Logical Invest Performance December 1 2016 IRA investment

Special topic IRA Investment

Read how to apply our development backtest software QuantTrader as a DIY investor or passive investment advisor to create your own IRA Investment in just a couple of minutes. Contact us with your special requests for building your own ETF Rotation Strategy for your IRA Investment.


BRS – Bond Rotation Strategy
BUGST – A conservative Permanent Portfolio Strategy
BUGLEV – A leveraged Permanent Portfolio Strategy
GMRS – Global Market Rotation Strategy
GMRSE – Global Market Rotation Strategy Enhanced
GSRLV – Global Sector Rotation low volatility
NASDAQ100 – Nasdaq 100 strategy
WORLD-TOP4 – The Top 4 World Country Strategy
UIS – Universal Investment Strategy
UIS-SPXL-TMF – 3x leveraged Universal Investment Strategy
AGG – iShares Core Total US Bond (4-5yr)
SPY – SPDR S&P 500 Index
TLT – iShares Barclays Long-Term Trsry (15-18yr)

2017-10-02T20:00:00+00:00 By |0 Comments

About the Author:

Vangelis has been involved in quantitative research and development since 2007. He blogs under the 'Sanz Prophet' alias. He has built, run and tested literally thousands of trading systems using Matlab, Python, C#, QuantShare and Amibroker and has contributed as a researcher/programmer in academic papers. His quantitative blog has been part of the “Whole Street” quant blog aggregator since inception. He holds a B.A. in Economics & Theater Arts from Cornell University and an M.F.A. in Motion Picture Producing from the Peter Stark Program at the University of Southern California.Before entering the financial world Vangelis worked as a film and commercial director and collaborated with agencies such as Bold Oglivy, Adel Saatchi and Saatchi and clients including Pepsico, P. & G., Hyundai and others.

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