The Logical-Invest monthly newsletter for April 2018

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Logical Invest
Investment Outlook
April 2018

Our top 2018 investment strategies, year-to-date :

SPY, the S&P500 ETF, returned -1.00%.

Market comment:

In the beginning of March, most of our strategies allocated large amounts to TLT,  the Treasury ETF. Subscribers using multiple combined strategies ended up with Treasury exposure north of 70%. This was quite difficult to digest considering the current sentiment towards rising rates. And yet TLT was one of the few assets that were positive for the month returning +2.86% vs SPY at -2.74%. To the right you can see the performance table sorted by 1-month return as all strategies outperformed SPY due to the treasury hedge.

The biggest winners for the month were the 3x UIS, adding 5% and the Nasdaq 100 adding 3.32% to reach a respectable 8% for the year. Worst performers were the two BUG strategies losing -0.58% and -0.79% and the MYRS losing -1.50% and remaining at a large drawdown year-to-date.

We wish you a happy Easter and a healthy and prosperous 2018.

Logical Invest, April 1, 2018

Strategy performance overview:

Visit our site for daily updated performance tables.
Symbols:

BRS – Bond Rotation Strategy
BUGST – A conservative Permanent Portfolio Strategy
BUGLEV – A leveraged Permanent Portfolio Strategy
GMRS – Global Market Rotation Strategy
GMRSE – Global Market Rotation Strategy Enhanced
GSRLV – Global Sector Rotation low volatility
NASDAQ100 – Nasdaq 100 strategy
WORLD-TOP4 – The Top 4 World Country Strategy
UIS – Universal Investment Strategy
UIS-SPXL-TMF – 3x leveraged Universal Investment Strategy
AGG – iShares Core Total US Bond (4-5yr)
SPY – SPDR S&P 500 Index
TLT – iShares Barclays Long-Term Trsry (15-18yr)

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2018-03-31T09:29:18+00:00 By |4 Comments

About the Author:

Vangelis has been involved in quantitative research and development since 2007. He blogs under the 'Sanz Prophet' alias. He has built, run and tested literally thousands of trading systems using Matlab, Python, C#, QuantShare and Amibroker and has contributed as a researcher/programmer in academic papers. His quantitative blog has been part of the “Whole Street” quant blog aggregator since inception. He holds a B.A. in Economics & Theater Arts from Cornell University and an M.F.A. in Motion Picture Producing from the Peter Stark Program at the University of Southern California.Before entering the financial world Vangelis worked as a film and commercial director and collaborated with agencies such as Bold Oglivy, Adel Saatchi and Saatchi and clients including Pepsico, P. & G., Hyundai and others.

4 Comments

  1. Yong Han 03/31/2018 at 10:56 am

    I thought this article is about outlook for April, didn’t see anything about it ?

  2. Vangelis 04/02/2018 at 2:19 pm

    Dear Yong, you are right. Not much of an outlook for this month’s newsletter. Sometimes we rather look at how strategies are navigating the current environment and how the algorithms swift asset classes as they react to a difficult market. We rather be careful about expressing opinion unless we have something useful to say. If you look at the past two newsletter (March, April) we do have a point of view but would rather stay neutral and let the algos decide.

  3. Petr Trauške 04/03/2018 at 5:26 am

    It ‘s time to invest in levarage UIS-SPXL-TMF – 3x leveraged Universal Investment Strategy or not still yet ?

    Thanks

    Petr

  4. Vangelis 04/03/2018 at 1:42 pm

    The VIX term structure curve is still inverted but we are not in the extreme levels reached in the beginning of February. UIS 3x is a viable choice.

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