Investment Strategies

Enhancement of the Treasury hedge in our strategies

Hedge

For many years, most of our strategies used long term Treasuries (TLT, TMF) as a hedge against market corrections. These Treasuries have been a safe haven asset with negative correlation to the stock market and have been used successfully to reduce the risk/volatility of our strategies. With rising rates and inflation, long term treasuries lose a part of their value as a safe haven asset. Their hedging value depends mainly on the speed interest rates … Read more

Backtested Data vs Historical Data

Understanding why we use backtested data in our webApp Our new ‘home’ is a place to evaluate current strategies and design new portfolios going forward. The data we use is backtested data based on the latest strategy parameters. The reason we do that is to be able to see how each strategy would have performed at current parameters so that we can then combine them into a portfolio. In essence, our new tools are forward looking tools … Read more

Logical Invest strategy update for an inflation environment

Inflation ETF Rotation Hedge

The following strategy update will be in effective for the February rebalancing. QuantTrader user will get a notice of the updated QuantTrader.ini strategy file when they start QuantTrader. You can also download the file also manually from here: https://logical-invest.com/quanttrader/QuantTrader.ini It is my opinion that going forward, inflation poses a serious risk for investors. From 1980 to 2015 Inflation went down from more than 10% to near 0%. Since 2015 inflation is steadily rising from nearly … Read more

Portfolio Builder Allocations 2018 – Set yourself up for success

First of January 2018 after a fabulous year in the markets and hopefully also your account. What better time than to spend some hours on revisiting our portfolio allocation to be ready for whatever the new year will bring? As stated previously we update and re-optimize our fixed-weight portfolios in the Portfolio Builder about twice a year. To recap, why do we re-optimize portfolios periodically? Modern Portfolio Theory by Harry Markowitz uses past returns and … Read more

Why Work Yourself, If Silver Can Work For You? (My Silver Strategy)

In the past 20 years I traded nearly everything you can trade, including commodities. Since about 10 years, I have gone from purely emotional trading to systematical rule-based trading. Today, I don’t trade anything anymore, if I cannot reproduce a positive backtest of my trading strategies. Today I stopped trading commodities, because it is very difficult to get good results with backtested strategies. My core investment strategy is the “Global Market Rotation Strategy“, which I … Read more

The Morpheus ETF Strategy: Combining the Blue Pill and the Red

Morpheus Investment Portfolio VIX Nasdaq

A guest post by Tom Gnade. Are you also interested in sharing your thoughts? Contact us! Several years ago, the Logical Invest whitepapers first introduced me to rotation investment strategies. After some research, I subscribed to the MYRS (the “Maximum Yield Rotation Strategy“), with good results. It was the first paid investment subscription I had ever used. I moved on to another service to learn options trading, and did well for two years, until a … Read more

The Logical Invest long-short US Sector Rotation Strategy

stock sector rotation strategy

– A US sector rotation meta strategy combining dynamically 5 different sector strategies based on SPDR ETF The following paper will explain how to build a U.S. sector rotation strategy which allocates dynamically between 4 different long US sector rotation strategies and one short US sector rotation strategy. This strategy is therefore different from our Global Sector Rotation strategy, as it only employs US sectors. Due to low correlation of these sector rotations, the combination … Read more

Top Performing ETFs Strategies – Portfolio Idea

top etf investment strategy portfolio builder

In the follow up to our webinar about how to compose top performing ETFs strategies among the QuantTrader community last weekend, we received many interesting questions and ideas to follow up. One question in particular I´d like to share in a post, as it involves all our “All Strategies” subscribers. John L. asks: “Using a simple meta strategy by choosing the top two strategies from the previous month (from the monthly newsletter), and investing in … Read more

One Approach to Rational Retirement Plan Investment Allocations

Fidelity freedom funds target date funds ffffdx 2020 retirement

We analyse one of the Fidelity Freedom Target Date Funds (FFFDX) versus a portfolio of ETF rotation strategies – The findings will surprise you! This is a guest post by Richard Manley Defined contribution retirement plan using target date funds There’s no shortage of challenges facing working people in these days. In addition to job outsourcing and the offshoring whole operations, inflation/deflation and zero interest rates on savings, most workers who have a retirement plan … Read more

Portfolio Builder Update January 2017

My Portfolio Builder Analyzer harry markowitz modern portfolio theory mpt

Happy new year –and let´s start it set-up for success with some Markowitz Modern Portfolio Theory! As previously announced, we´re updating our Portfolio Builder Optimization periodically, both in the Online and Offline Version. Updated Portfolio Builder Optimization for 2017 employing Markowitz Modern Portfolio Theory Why that? Recall the Portfolio Builder is using a Markowitz Modern Portfolio Theory approach, that is, we´re using past returns, volatilities and co-variances to determine an optimum fixed-weight allocation among our different … Read more