The Logical-Invest monthly newsletter for March 2016

Logical Invest
Investment Outlook
March 2016

Market comment:

February was another high volatility month, however it now looks like the world markets are slowly recovering.
Here is a Year-to-Date chart of the world markets together with the defensive TLT (long duration Treasury) and GLD (Gold) ETFs.

img defed

Last year, the normal inverse correlation of both TLT and GLD to equities failed to materialize for quite a long time. We had several months where Equities, Treasuries and Gold went down simultaneously. This was a very unusual and difficult situation for our strategies.

This uncommon situation, where correlations between safe heaven assets (Treasuries and Gold) and Equity did not work as expected was due to the rare occurence when the FED tries to change to a regime of rising rates after years of falling rates. By now, it seems that this transition may not materialize in the near future, at least not as originally planned. This is very good for both Treasuries and Gold.

Looking at the market from this correlations-based point of view it seems that so far this year everything is  back to normal again. The stock market went down and the defensive treasuries and Gold went up. This is all we want. It allows our strategies to profit and outperform even during market corrections. Year-to-Date, most Logical Invest strategies are doing quite well. Only the most aggressive equity momentum strategies are still slightly negative, but this can change very fast if the market recovers.

The new Gold strategy did very well this year and we think that such a strategy provides excellent diversification because it profits from the worldwide trend of central banks to fight deflation by printing more and more money. Every country tries to weaken their currency more than the others, and the winner of this will be precious metals, because these cannot be artificially duplicated.

So, all together we are quite optimistic going forward and we hope that we will have a good month of March.

Logical Invest, March 2016

 

Strategy performance overview:

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Symbols:

BRS – Bond Rotation Strategy
BUGST – A conservative Permanent Portfolio Strategy
BUGLEV – A leveraged Permanent Portfolio Strategy
GMRS – Global Market Rotation Strategy
GMRSE – Global Market Rotation Strategy Enhanced
GSRLV – Global Sector Rotation low volatility
NASDAQ100 – Nasdaq 100 strategy
WORLD-TOP4 – The Top 4 World Country Strategy
UIS – Universal Investment Strategy
UIS-SPXL-TMF – 3x leveraged Universal Investment Strategy
AGG – iShares Core Total US Bond (4-5yr)
SPY – SPDR S&P 500 Index
TLT – iShares Barclays Long-Term Trsry (15-18yr)

 

 

 

2017-10-02T20:00:00+00:00By |0 Comments

About the Author:

Frank studied Microtechnics at the Federal Institute of Technology in Lausanne and Business Administration at the Federal Institute of Technology in Zurich. After the Studies in 1989 he founded Labocontrol AG. Labocontrol developed high speed film scanners used in most of the photo labs for the production of Photo CD's. In 2000 Labocontrol was sold to Digital Now and Frank worked as Chief Scientist and later CTO of this Company. In Mai 2002 Frank founded Colour-Science AG a company specialized in image processing algorithms like face detection or red eye removal. Many of these algorithms could be also used to search for pattern in financial data, so Frank began to develop and back test rule based investment strategies. The main focus was to find strategies, which would allow a positive return also during a financial downturn or major financial crash. Based on this research, logical-invest developed some very successful strategies and due to its solid performance and positive returns, we decided to share our knowledge with you and publish it on a monthly basis through "rent-a-strategy".

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