Backtest

Enhancing Harry Browne’s Permanent Portfolio strategy using ETFs and monthly rebalancing

Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio allocation

Enhancing Harry Browne’s Permanent Portfolio The Permanent Portfolio is a simple, diversified portfolio You can construct it using 3 ETFs: SPY, TLT and GLD We enhance it by allowing variable allocations and monthly rebalancing We offer a free subscription so you can implement it in your own account including 401k or IRA  What is the Permanent Portfolio by Harry Browne Harry Browne’s intention was to find a solution for the money “you need to take care … Read more

‘Hell on Fire’: The 3x leveraged Universal Investment Strategy

leveraged universal investment Strategy

Summary:
-Aggressive leveraged version of our previously published Universal Investment Strategy
-Variable SPY-TLT allocations dynamically adapted to the market conditions.
-45% annual return with a Sharpe Ratio of 1.3 since 2002.

Due to its simplicity and low correlation to the S&P 500, there is a continued interest in the UIS version that uses 3x leveraged ETFs: ETF SPXL (Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares ETF) and TMF (Direxion Daily 30-Year Treasury Bull 3x Shares ETF). Following the suggested nomenclature by Al from AAII SV – and to honor their interest, we call this version “Hell on fire”, which alludes to the high risk/return profile of the strategy. We will show ways to blend this strategy in a well-balanced and risk-optimized portfolio as to overcome the generally negative perception of private investors towards leveraged ETF.

The NASDAQ 100 Meta-Strategy – Stock Selection and Compact Meta-Strategy

NasdaqstrategyetfrotationkIRAretirementaccount

Intelligent Algorithms run two prallel sub-strategies.
Meta- layer chooses between the two sub-strategies based on current market conditions.
Variable allocation to Treasuries provides protection from large drawdowns.

This strategy is a good fit for investors that want to invest intelligently in the U.S. equity market as well as for stock-pickers looking for a rules-based growth strategy.
The strategy can also complement our existing strategies and can work well with our more conservative strategies like BRS (bond rotation), the BUG or with non-U.S. equity strategies like World Top 4.

Harvesting Contango: How To Build An ETF Rotation Strategy With More Than 50% Annualized Returns

BlogotationstrategyMaximumYieldRotationStrategyMDY

In this paper I want to explain the readers how the Maximum Yield Rotation Strategy of www.logical-invest.com is built. This strategy harvests the so called Contango. Harvesting Contango by investing in inverse volatility This Strategy harvests contango and achieves very high returns investing in inverse volatility. From 2011 to today the annual performance was more than 70% per year. Year to date the performance is 40.9%. The Sharpe Ratio (Return/Risk) of 2.12 is a “DREAM VALUE” … Read more

The Logical-Invest monthly newsletter for September 2016

IRA investment Passive

Special topic this month: Passive Investments Logical Invest Investment Outlook September 2016 Our top year-to-date strategies: The Leveraged Universal strategy with 39.09% return. The Maximum Yield strategy with 34.04% return.  The World Top 4 with 20.51% return. SPY, the S&P500 ETF, returned 7.73%, year-to-date. New tools: The Online Custom Portfolio Builder The Consolidated Signals tool. Market comment: The summer market showed strength compared to its seasonal bias. The old saying “Sell in May and go away” did not hold up this year as SPY … Read more

Volatility Premium – Why we invest in ZIV and not in XIV

BlogETFrotationstrategyFEZGlobalMarketRotationEnhanced

Several times I have been asked why we invest in ZIV (inverse mid-term volatility) and not in XIV (inverse front month volatility) in our Maximum Yield Rotation Strategy and in the “Global Market Rotation Enhanced Strategy” to harvest the volatility premium. Harvest Volatility Premium smartly After all, front month VIX Future contango is about 2-3x bigger then medium term contango. At the moment XIV profits from nearly 9% monthly VIX Futures contango. ZIV profits from about 3% … Read more

The Logical-Invest monthly newsletter for October 2016

IRA investment Passive

Special topic: Passive Investment Logical Invest Investment Outlook October 2016 Our top year-to-date strategies: The Leveraged Universal strategy with 36.47% return. The Maximum Yield strategy with 36.37% return.  The World Top 4 with 19.82% return. SPY, the S&P500 ETF, returned 7.74%, year-to-date. News: Introducing Richard´s Corner, a new Logical Invest User Community, moderated by Richard Manley. Richard is  a long time user and critical commenter of our services. Subjects range from making the best of your 401K , using Fidelity or Vanguard funds to using … Read more

Risk Management using Timed Hedging – Avoid DrawDowns

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As you perhaps know I have invested all my money in my own strategies, and I and my family (the best wife of all and 4 nice children) are living from the return of these investments. So, I just cannot afford to lose much money in market corrections. Therefore I always try to improve the strategies to lower the risk of major losses through hedging. Timed Hedging The new “Timed hedging” is a major improvement … Read more

The Logical-Invest monthly newsletter for November 2016

Special Topic: IRA Investments using QuantTrader, our Backtest Software Logical Invest Investment Outlook November 2016 Our top year-to-date strategies: The Maximum Yield strategy with 32.61% return. The Leveraged Universal strategy with 21.42% return.   The World Top 4 with 17.66% return. SPY, the S&P500 ETF, returned 5.87%, year-to-date. Market comment: Recent surveys show that fund managers have increased cash positions1 while outflows from equity funds are at historically high levels2. From a contrarian point of view this could be considered market positive. There … Read more

Strategies For Trading Inverse Volatility

trading investing in inverse volatility ziv vix ziv vxx futures

Update: You can see the most recent performance our our inverse volatility strategy here. Consult vixcentral for the daily VIC term curve. In this paper, I present five different strategies you can use to trade inverse volatility. Why trade inverse volatility you ask? Because since 2011, trading inverse volatility was probably the most rewarding investment an investor could make in the markets. Annual returns of between 40% – 100% have been possible which crushes any other … Read more