As you perhaps know I have invested all my money in my own strategies, and I and my family (the best wife of all and 4 nice children) are living from the return of these investments. So, I just cannot afford to lose much money in market corrections. Therefore I always try to improve the strategies to lower the risk of major losses through hedging. Timed Hedging The new “Timed hedging” is a major improvement … Read more
This monthly premium of being short volatility is the only thing which makes the ZIV price go up. Unfortunately there is a second quite strong influence on the ZIV price. This is the market volatility (VIX). In the chart below you see the green VIX chart. Every spike corresponds to a fear spike of the investors. During such spikes we also have smaller market corrections. During these market corrections ZIV is going down, because the … Read more
Update: You can see the most recent performance our our inverse volatility strategy here. Consult vixcentral for the daily VIC term curve. In this paper, I present five different strategies you can use to trade inverse volatility. Why trade inverse volatility you ask? Because since 2011, trading inverse volatility was probably the most rewarding investment an investor could make in the markets. Annual returns of between 40% – 100% have been possible which crushes any other … Read more
Here are two backtests charts of the new MYRS strategy with adaptive allocation, now also suitable for your retirement account. The annual return of the old and the new strategy is more or less the same. During low volatility markets, the return of the new strategy is probably slightly lower, however during difficult volatile years like 2014, the return of the new strategy is significantly higher and the drawdowns and the risk is reduced nearly by a … Read more
Here is a comparison of different ZIV replacement ETFs in the MYRS strategy, shorting volatility. Going long ZIV is the most simple way to execute the strategy. ZIV is in fact an inverse ETF, so even if ZIV does not have leverage, ZIV needs to be rebalanced daily. Rebalanced ETFs in general have losses. These losses become bigger with higher volatility. Shorting Volatility the smart way On the chart below you can see the quite poor ZIV performance … Read more
This is the monthly monthly Logical-Invest newsletter for June 2015. From now on this newsletter will replace the individual comments for the single strategies. The newsletter includes a strategy performance overview which can help you to switch between strategies. The same table is available if you login to your logical invest account at “My Account” and select the strategy performance menu. The table on the website is a dynamic table and will be updated every day. This way … Read more
This is the monthly Logical-Invest newsletter for July 2015. Strategy performance overview: symbol close year to date % ▴ 3 month % 1 month % 1 day % 60 day volatility 60 day correlation 3 month Sharpe 12 month Sharpe 36 month Sharpe WORLD-TOP4 284.82 8.27 0.85 -1.21 0.68 12.57 0.69 0.43 3.01 3.24 MYRS 615.56 5.11 1.02 -1.80 0.53 14.39 0.69 0.42 1.11 2.85 GMRS 4296.50 3.77 -3.35 -1.76 0.12 8.81 0.86 -2.20 -0.06 1.65 … Read more
Logical Invest Investment Outlook April 2017 Our top 2017 investment strategies, year-to-date: The Maximum Yield strategy with 21.58% return. The NASDAQ 100 strategy with 15.00% return. The Leveraged Universal strategy with 13.02% return. SPY, the S&P500 ETF, returned 5.92%. News: Try our QUANTtrader software with our 30-day free trial. There is no better way to understand how our strategies work. Join our new QUANTtrader forum were users dare adjust the strategies and share new ones! Check our new European section. Our in-depth 2-hour QUANTtrader webinar, with Frank Grossmann. Get a behind-the-scenes … Read more
Logical Invest Investment Outlook May 2017 Our top 2017 investment strategies, year-to-date: The Maximum Yield strategy with 25.75% return. The NASDAQ 100 strategy with 18.26% return. The Leveraged Universal strategy with 16.86% return. SPY, the S&P500 ETF, returned 6.97%. News: Our new U.S. Sector Rotation strategy is live (and for a limited time, free!). Unlike what you may have seen before, this strategy consists of 5 sub-strategies tracking sector momentum, mean reversion and relative under-performance to create a variable-beta play on the U.S. market. And … Read more
Logical Invest Investment Outlook June 2017 Our top 2017 investment strategies, year-to-date: The Maximum Yield strategy with 29.66% return. The Leveraged Universal strategy with 21.89% return. The NASDAQ 100 strategy with 21.80% return. SPY, the S&P500 ETF, returned 8.48%. News: Our brand new U.S. Sector Rotation made its live debut with a +2.53% return for the month. You can subscribe for free. Market comment: Both the U.S. equity and the U.S. bond markets were positive for May. SPY (S&P 500 ETF) added +1.41% and TLT (30-Year Treasury ETF) … Read more