We updated our QuantTrader software to version 515S. Read about changes to our strategies. If you are using QuantTrader, this time you need to manually update it, please download from here. Thank you FED These first two months of 2019 are a prime example of how sensitive markets have become to interest rate policy. Following the December move in the S&P 500 which painted a negative year for US Equities, Chairman Jerome Powell signaled … Read more
We have prepared a new version of QuantTrader which will be used to generate the Logical-Invest signals for the month of March. So please make sure you will use the new version from now on. If you are using the new version with your own strategies, you will need to re-optimize the strategies to get the same performance as with the old QuantTrader 514S version. When you do this you will probably to try out … Read more
Our top 3 strategies this past month: Leveraged Universal Investment strategy with +7.5% return. Maximum Yield strategy at +4.3% U.S. Sector strategy (free to subscribe) at +3.1% News: Alex’s new post describes the process of blending Portfolios (rather than Strategies or ETFs) using the Portfolio Builder. Bouncing into 2019 Three fundamental trends to watch as 2019 unfolds: The first trend includes the reversal of QE in the U.S, the end of the asset purchase program of … Read more
Must reads: Frank Grossmann’s article “How to Hedge in Times of Market Trouble” (Seeking Alpha, LI Blog) 2019 strategy updates (LI Blog) Protecting your money After almost 10 years of a continuous bull market and 2 years of exceptional growth (2016-2017), 2018 was the first year that the SP500 turned negative. Apart from the dollar index, most asset classes also fell. To make things worse, the S&P500 dropped -20% from the September highs during what is … Read more
We have made some quite important changes to the Logical Invest strategies for 2019. Please note that the January strategy allocations will be calculated based on these updated strategies. 401 / IRA compliant base strategies The new strategies will not use leveraged or inverse ETFs, making them and the portfolios derived from them, more 401 / IRA friendly. The changes have been backtested and do not reduce the performance of the strategies due to a … Read more
Logical Invest Investment Outlook December 2018 The graph below is from a recent Bloomberg article entitled “A Brutal Global Market in 2018 Has Just One Champion“. That one champion, according to the article, was Treasury bills. It goes on to say: “By one simple measure, this is the worst cross-asset performance in more than a century“. Below you can see 89% of all assets had negative performances year-to-date (as of Nov. 22). This may be an exaggeration … Read more
Logical Invest Investment Outlook March 2018 Our top 2018 investment strategies, year-to-date : The NASDAQ 100 strategy with +4.55% return. The Universal Investment strategy with +1.45% return. The Global Sector Rotation strategy with +0.58% return. SPY, the S&P500 ETF, returned +1.79%. News: Strategy update: Our updated hedge now allocates to Treasuries, Gold or to a short US sector position. The hedge does not use currency ETFs anymore, which were conflicting with common 401k / IRA guidelines. Market comment: February proved to … Read more
Our top 2018 investment strategies, year-to-date : The NASDAQ 100 strategy with +9.95% return. The Gold-USD strategy with -0.81% return. The BUG strategy with -2.02% return SPY, the S&P500 ETF, returned +2.74%. Market comment: October was not a good month as the S&P 500 had a mini-crash and an ‘official’ correction touching the -10% mark from the September highs. Other markets followed the drop leaving many foreign markets in the red for the year. Our strategies were affected as well. Let’s take … Read more
Logical Invest Investment Outlook October 2018 Our top 2018 investment strategies, year-to-date : The NASDAQ 100 strategy with +14.50% return. The 3x Universal Investment strategy with +7.85% return. The Universal Investment strategy with +2.32% return SPY, the S&P500 ETF, returned +10.37%. Market comment: We are continuing to experience the symptoms of the end of Quantitative Easing: Higher interest rates and slightly higher inflation. The FED is normalizing policy and it seems that moderate growth and low inflation have helped make this into … Read more
Logical Invest Investment Outlook September 2018 Our top 2018 investment strategies, year-to-date : The NASDAQ 100 strategy with +14.54% return. The 3x Universal Investment strategy with +12.06% return. The BUG Leveraged strategy with +2.62% return SPY, the S&P500 ETF, returned +9.71%. Market comment: Despite tariffs, a flattening yield curve, Turkey’s currency collapse and the fear of contagion across emerging markets, the S&P 500 is yet again making new highs. The U.S. equity market has outperformed most other markets and asset classes. Part of … Read more