Investment Strategies

The new enhanced Bond Rotation Strategy with adaptive allocation

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On November 2013 I published the first SA article on the Bond Rotation Strategy (BRS) as excelent diversifier for a 401k Investment Portfolio. Now, 15 months later, I am presenting an important update for this strategy with adaptive allocation. Even though the old strategy has done well (see charts here: https://logical-invest.com/strategy/bond-rotation-sleep-well/), I think it is very important to constantly validate and improve any investment strategy. Markets change, ETFs change even we ourselves grow and learn. Especially … Read more

Portfolio optimization: The all new Portfolio Builder

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  From individual Strategies to Portfolio Optimization Based on the interest of our followers and our own investment philosophy, we have gradually evolved from offering single quantitative strategies towards blends or portfolios of strategies. The way we visualize our own development cycle might be best summarized in a chart: Where are we on this path and where are we heading? We believe we have now a stable set of ‘core-strategies’, which cover a broad spectrum … Read more

Update Portfolio Builder: Now including Universal Investment Strategy with 3x leverage

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By request of several followers, we have now included the version with 3x leverage of the Universal Investment Strategy using synthetic SPXL and TMF data from 2002. Portfolio Builder now with leverage We’re about to publish a full article on this exciting option for this weekend, but want to pre-alert you about this upcoming adition. While this is a very aggressive strategy with leverage, it blends very nicely with a 10%-20% allocation into a portfolio … Read more

‘Hell on Fire’: The 3x leveraged Universal Investment Strategy

leveraged universal investment Strategy

Summary:
-Aggressive leveraged version of our previously published Universal Investment Strategy
-Variable SPY-TLT allocations dynamically adapted to the market conditions.
-45% annual return with a Sharpe Ratio of 1.3 since 2002.

Due to its simplicity and low correlation to the S&P 500, there is a continued interest in the UIS version that uses 3x leveraged ETFs: ETF SPXL (Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares ETF) and TMF (Direxion Daily 30-Year Treasury Bull 3x Shares ETF). Following the suggested nomenclature by Al from AAII SV – and to honor their interest, we call this version “Hell on fire”, which alludes to the high risk/return profile of the strategy. We will show ways to blend this strategy in a well-balanced and risk-optimized portfolio as to overcome the generally negative perception of private investors towards leveraged ETF.

Logical Invest at the Silicon Valley chapter of the investors AAII

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What an audience and what an experience! Thanks to the investors AAII Silicon Valley! As announced some weeks ago, on April 11 we hosted our first conference at the Silicon Valley chapter of the American Association of Individual Investors AAII in San Jose, CA. Sharing and discussing some of the topics which are close to our heart with an incredible audience in live mode was such a great opportunity we completely overran the anticipated schedule … Read more

The World Country Top 4 ETF rotation strategy – A way to fight rising rates and a stalling US stock market

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Summary of World Country Top 4 ETF rotation strategy • The World Country Top 4 ETF rotation strategy is a strongly momentum driven strategy creating high returns. • The strategy profits from a maximum global diversification. • With a 20-year CAGR of 20.7% the strategy has a much lower volatility and lower risk than an S&P 500 investment. In my last articles I described various momentum ETF rotation strategies with variable allocations using our maximum Sharpe … Read more

Build Custom ETF Portfolios: Mid Year Review Portfolio Builder

Portfolios

For our „All Strategies“ Subscriber who use the Portfolio Builder to blend their own mix of Logical Invest Strategies, here some updates and a short mid-year review:

We have now included the “World Top 4 Strategy” into both the online an offline tool. To keep the charts readable, we opted for replacing the Aggressive Version of our “Global Sector Rotation”.
The preconfigured and optimized Markowitz Portfolios have been updated, only slight changes in the allocations occurred – all are <5%, so in most cases these can be neglected due to account size.

The NASDAQ 100 Meta-Strategy – Stock Selection and Compact Meta-Strategy

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Intelligent Algorithms run two prallel sub-strategies.
Meta- layer chooses between the two sub-strategies based on current market conditions.
Variable allocation to Treasuries provides protection from large drawdowns.

This strategy is a good fit for investors that want to invest intelligently in the U.S. equity market as well as for stock-pickers looking for a rules-based growth strategy.
The strategy can also complement our existing strategies and can work well with our more conservative strategies like BRS (bond rotation), the BUG or with non-U.S. equity strategies like World Top 4.

The Gold Currency Investment Strategy

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  • The Gold-Currency strategy trades Gold vs 3 major currencies.
  • It is based on the negative correlation between Gold and the U.S. dollar Index.
  • It is an excellent addition to existing equity or bond portfolios as it holds very little correlation to either.
  • It can be traded using ETFs, Futures or even low-margin/low-cost FX pairs.

Easy Investing in a multi-strategy Markowitz optimized Portfolio

Design and Execute your Custom Markowitz optimized ETF Portfolio

In our recent post we´ve shared some powerful options to design a well-balanced portfolio of several Logical Invest strategies to achieve a preset portfolio objective using Modern portfolio theory (MPT) techniques developed by Nobel Prize laureate Harry Markowitz. Here, we review the steps to achieving an optimized portfolio with our tools and summarize some portfolio options to illustrate use of our updated tool set: (picture for mobile use) These options might serve as a starting point to design your … Read more