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The new always hedged Bond Rotation Investment Strategy backtests

sleep well bond rotation investment strategy

The old Bond Rotation Investment strategy behavior during the Corona crash: You see that the crash happened in between two rebalancing’s. As we have been in a 100% bull market scenario in February, the March strategy allocation was 60% Emerging market bonds and 40% Convertible bonds. Both are equity like bonds. As the crash happened very fast, there was no time to switch into a more defensive allocation. The max drawdown was -32% and the … Read more

The Logical-Invest newsletter for May 2020

Back to normal? All strategies came in positive for the month with a range of returns from a low of +2.8% to a high of +14.5% for the Maximum Yield strategy. Year-to-date figures are mixed but reasonable around a mean of -2%. The S&P 500 is down -9% while emerging markets (EEM) are down -19%. Looking at the table above, it does not reflect a world where whole economies are frozen, cities are in lockdown, … Read more

The Logical-Invest newsletter for April 2020

First priority – Keep yourself and your family safe We would like to express our sympathy and support to all the families affected by the coronavirus. We wish everyone good health as it is our most valuable asset. Second priority – Keep your portfolios safe a. The Strategies Below are the performances of our strategies and benchmark ETFs since the start of the year. March felt like a never ending roller coaster ride, both in … Read more

Use Market Volatility to Save Your Portfolio

Many investors are liquidating their portfolios with huge losses. They sell all asset classes from equity to Treasuries and gold. I will explain here a better strategy to cut losses. Below is a chart of our Logical Invest Permanent Portfolio Strategy which invests in the 3 main assets: equity (SP&500), Treasuries and gold. The strategy uses a variable allocation of Treasuries and gold to hedge against equity losses. As you can see in the below … Read more

The Coronavirus Market Crash – Lessons learned

coronavirus market crash 2020

Logical Invest in Bearish Mode Since January At the start of the year, before the CORVID-19 outbreak was known, we updated our strategies to better withstand a possible bear market or large correction. You can read the details here. A Two-Stage Correction In the first stage, hedges like gold and Treasuries worked well. Although the SP 500 took a free fall, the 30-year Treasury ETF went parabolic up as the 10-year yield touched 0.6%. Gold … Read more

The Logical-Invest newsletter for March 2020

How did LI strategies handle the correction Our strategies were hedged during this sudden market correction so they held up well. All strategies outperformed the S&P 500 which is down -9.8% for the month. As discussed in our “2020 investment strategy update” post, a correction with no warning was expected based on the experience from the end of 2018. The solution implemented was upping our algorithm’s allowed allocations to safe heavens as well as diversifying … Read more

The Logical-Invest newsletter for February 2020

Top strategies in January: The Leveraged Universal Investment strategy (3x UIS) up 6.1%. The Maximum Yield Strategy (MYRS) up 4.1%. The  Leverged Gold-Currency Strategy (GLD-USD) strategy up 3.3%. Our 2020 strategy outlook and strategy adjustments A reminder that starting January 1 2020, we have implementing several modifications to our strategies to make them less volatile. The biggest modification concerns the Hedge sub-strategy to ensure proper diversification between equities and multiple safe-haven assets. This worked out … Read more

The Logical-Invest newsletter for January 2020

All strategies positive for 2019 Logical Invest 2019 historical strategy performance based on actual signals issued.Last column is the correlation of each strategy to the S&P500. The Leveraged Universal Investment strategy (3x UIS) up 80%. The Maximum Yield Strategy (MYRS) up 54%. Our modified permanent portfolio (the “BUG”) up 11% with less than half the SP500 volatility. The Bond Rotation Strategy (BRS) up 6% with 1/3 the SP500 volatility. Most strategies had a correlation to … Read more

2020 Logical-Invest strategy update

Starting January 1 2020, we are implementing several modifications to our strategies to make them less volatile and more stable. The biggest modification concerns the Hedge strategy. As this sub-strategy is a major part of all of our ‘hedged’ strategies, any change in this sub-strategy automatically affects the strategies themselves. We are also implementing a new limit for allocations between hedge and equity. The equity/hedge allocations will now range from 40%-60%, which makes sure our … Read more

The Logical-Invest newsletter for December 2019

Did you notice a bear passing? There should be a widely available service to search past wall street media headlines, align them with a chart and see how well (or not) they predicted market moves. A few months ago, while the SP500 sat some 8% lower from today all headlines were reading about the yield curve inversion, tariffs and the coming recession. This ‘pessimism’ seems to be over. This month’s favourite headliner comes from Fidelity … Read more