Volatility

The Logical-Invest monthly newsletter for September 2017

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Logical Invest Investment Outlook September 2017 Our top 2017 investment strategies, year-to-date: The Maximum Yield strategy with 47.47% return. The Leveraged Universal strategy with 31.15% return.   The NASDAQ 100 strategy with 24.65% return. SPY, the S&P500 ETF, returned 11.74%. Market comment: After more than three months of extremely low levels of volatility, VIX spiked on August 10th peaking at the 16.04 level. The index has now dropped around the 10 – 11 level awaiting further possible market disruptions. The move has triggered an upward … Read more

The Logical-Invest monthly newsletter for November 2018

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Our top 2018 investment strategies, year-to-date : The NASDAQ 100  strategy with +9.95% return.   The Gold-USD  strategy with -0.81% return.  The BUG strategy with -2.02% return SPY, the S&P500 ETF, returned +2.74%. Market comment: October was not a good month as the S&P 500 had a mini-crash and an ‘official’ correction touching the -10% mark from the September highs. Other markets followed the drop leaving many foreign markets in the red for the year. Our strategies were affected as well.  Let’s take … Read more

The SPY-TLT Universal Investment Strategy (UIS)

Universal Investment Strategy ETF Rotation Investment Strategy Volatility

Introduction to the SPY-TLT Universal Investment Strategy (UIS) This paper discusses the simple but effective method of using adaptive allocations between stock market ETFs and Treasuries to assemble a simple yet smart Investment Strategy. This method has been developed to replace the 100% switching used in normal rotation strategies like the Maximum Yield Rotation and the Global Market Rotation strategies. The real world is just not a 100% “risk on” or “risk off” world. Most of … Read more

The Logical-Invest monthly newsletter for July 2015

This is the monthly Logical-Invest newsletter for July 2015. Strategy performance overview: symbol close year to date % ▴ 3 month % 1 month % 1 day % 60 day volatility 60 day correlation 3 month Sharpe 12 month Sharpe 36 month Sharpe WORLD-TOP4 284.82 8.27 0.85 -1.21 0.68 12.57 0.69 0.43 3.01 3.24 MYRS 615.56 5.11 1.02 -1.80 0.53 14.39 0.69 0.42 1.11 2.85 GMRS 4296.50 3.77 -3.35 -1.76 0.12 8.81 0.86 -2.20 -0.06 1.65 … Read more

QuantTrader – The Swiss army tool now also for individual investors

QuantTrader

Dear Subscribers, We are happy to announce that the full QuantTrader version is now available to individual investors for $150 a month or $1500 per year. We will cross-subsidize a bit with the high interest we´ve received from institutional investors like RIA and hedge-fund managers so far. Fair play requires that subscribers who manage their own or other people’s assets above $1m subscribe to the institutional offering. QuantTrader is a fine piece of art mixed with a … Read more

The Logical-Invest monthly newsletter for October 2017

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Logical Invest Investment Outlook October 2017 Our top 2017 investment strategies, year-to-date: The Maximum Yield strategy with 43.96% return. The Leveraged Universal strategy with 28.36% return.   The NASDAQ 100 strategy with 19.97% return. SPY, the S&P500 ETF, returned 13.99%. Market comment: The S&P 500 has reached new heights, gaining +2% for the month, influenced by a more optimistic tax reform outlook. On the other hand, president Trump’s proposed tax cuts and the possibility of a growing U.S. deficit caused U.S. Treasuries to sell off, pushing … Read more

Permanent Portfolio – Will We Ever Kill The Bug?

permanent portfolio all weather fail save investment harry browne brownes bond term

An analysis of Harry Browne´s Permanent Portfolio and further enhancements towards:  A Permanent Portfolio ETF Rotation Strategy employing Momentum, Mean Reversion, and Volatility Targeting. It’s not just cars. It’s investment strategies like the permanent portfolio, too. Vintage “all-weather” investment strategies are often simple, easy to execute and give amble ‘out-of-sample’ data. In other words one can see how they performed in life years after they have been proposed. And like the VW bug, they are … Read more

The NASDAQ 100 Meta-Strategy – Stock Selection and Compact Meta-Strategy

NasdaqstrategyetfrotationkIRAretirementaccount

Intelligent Algorithms run two prallel sub-strategies.
Meta- layer chooses between the two sub-strategies based on current market conditions.
Variable allocation to Treasuries provides protection from large drawdowns.

This strategy is a good fit for investors that want to invest intelligently in the U.S. equity market as well as for stock-pickers looking for a rules-based growth strategy.
The strategy can also complement our existing strategies and can work well with our more conservative strategies like BRS (bond rotation), the BUG or with non-U.S. equity strategies like World Top 4.

The Logical-Invest monthly newsletter for November 2016

Special Topic: IRA Investments using QuantTrader, our Backtest Software Logical Invest Investment Outlook November 2016 Our top year-to-date strategies: The Maximum Yield strategy with 32.61% return. The Leveraged Universal strategy with 21.42% return.   The World Top 4 with 17.66% return. SPY, the S&P500 ETF, returned 5.87%, year-to-date. Market comment: Recent surveys show that fund managers have increased cash positions1 while outflows from equity funds are at historically high levels2. From a contrarian point of view this could be considered market positive. There … Read more

The Logical-Invest monthly newsletter for November 2017

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Logical Invest Investment Outlook November 2017 Our top 2017 investment strategies, year-to-date: The Maximum Yield strategy with 52.51% return. The Leveraged Universal strategy with 34.36% return.   The NASDAQ 100 strategy with 29.34% return. SPY, the S&P500 ETF, returned 16.68%. Market comment: Just like September, October was positive for the S&P 500. The index gained +2.36% continuing its multi-month rise to new highs. U.S. Treasuries did not manage to recover after last month’s losses, staying almost flat at -0.04%. Gold showed weakness returning -0.75%. Our … Read more