[gselsidi]

Quick questions about the posted Annual strategy returns. Are these true returns? What I mean by this is.

If I invest $100,000 and lost -20% now I’m at $80,000 and made 30% which brings me to $104,000.
If we just go by the % you would think you are up 10% (-20%+30%), but in reality you are only up +4%.

Apologize for the silly question just wanted to be sure about the returns shown.

Best,
Elsid

[gselsidi]

Hi Alex,

Yes I wasn’t saying this is right or not. Was just throwing some ideas out and if you guys could look into those suggestions, and see how they perform. Another idea with a commodity strategy might be something where it’s all physical all the time, never transferring into cash.

An example, of something like this would be trading the Gold/Silver ratio against each-other, this of course wouldn’t be your whole portfolio unless you so desired, but a 5-20% allocation.

Trading the ratio against eachother would help you double or even triple “returns” as you end up accumulating more of the metals overtime as gold or silver become overvalued or undervalued to each-other. This of course is clearly a long long term investment strategy, just something I think should be examined given the current climate.

Look at what happened in current day Germany during WW1 1oz gold went from 170 Marks to 88 TRILLION Marks!!!!!! We don’t know who the next Zimbabwe, Argentina, Germany, will be, could be the whole world for all we know. Given recent world governments actions to just confiscate private assets from people to bail in institutions would make it worth-while for a successful strategy in something physical as a form of insurance.

Just my thoughts on some ideas that have been running through my mind.

Best,
Elsid

[gselsidi]

I posted this in the UIS 3X leveraged, before i found the forum.

1. Can we back-test a strategy where instead of going long treasuries we go short the SPY?
So either something like UPRO for 3x long S&P and SPXU for 3X short S&P.

2. A Physical rotation strategy, is it possible to develop a strategy where you are physically buying/selling a commodity for example such as gold, silver, oil?

The reason for strategy one is at one point in time the world will lose faith in the United States, and there might come a time where both equities and bonds both go down together. We can see turbulence in the bond market starting now.

The reason for strategy 2, would be a loss of confidence in the worlds financial system. This does not have to be a doomsday scenario where the world never sets up a global financial system again, because they will. It’s for a scenario where a total temporary collapse occurs, and your assets may be completely lost or confiscated as we have seen in Cyprus and soon to be many other countries.

A physical only type of system, would remove the risk of having your accounts in someone Else’s hands, for if a worst case scenario happens.

Thanks,
Elsid

[gselsidi]

Hi guys,

This is a general question about the UIS, leveraged or none, it goes off on the notion of bonds and equities having a negative correlation, what if in the future this correlation breaks down, wouldn’t this break the whole strategy?

How does a strategy where you go short equities through either a regular short of the long SPY fund, or through a bear ETF perform? This would remove the uncertainty that if these 2 instruments lose their negative correlation, the strategy can still work.

Thanks

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