Gold-USD Low volatility Sub-strategy

TotalReturn:

'Total return, when measuring performance, is the actual rate of return of an investment or a pool of investments over a given evaluation period. Total return includes interest, capital gains, dividends and distributions realized over a given period of time. Total return accounts for two categories of return: income including interest paid by fixed-income investments, distributions or dividends and capital appreciation, representing the change in the market price of an asset.'

• The total return over 5 years of Gold-USD Low volatility Sub-strategy is 96.3%, which is lower, thus worse compared to the benchmark GLD (132.6%) in the same period.
• Looking at total return, or increase in value in of 54.5% in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively smaller, thus worse in comparison to GLD (123.2%).

CAGR:

'Compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is a business and investing specific term for the geometric progression ratio that provides a constant rate of return over the time period. CAGR is not an accounting term, but it is often used to describe some element of the business, for example revenue, units delivered, registered users, etc. CAGR dampens the effect of volatility of periodic returns that can render arithmetic means irrelevant. It is particularly useful to compare growth rates from various data sets of common domain such as revenue growth of companies in the same industry.'

• Compared with the benchmark GLD (18.5%) in the period of the last 5 years, the annual return (CAGR) of 14.5% of Gold-USD Low volatility Sub-strategy is lower, thus worse.
• Compared with GLD (30.8%) in the period of the last 3 years, the annual return (CAGR) of 15.7% is lower, thus worse.

Volatility:

'Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index. Volatility can either be measured by using the standard deviation or variance between returns from that same security or market index. Commonly, the higher the volatility, the riskier the security. In the securities markets, volatility is often associated with big swings in either direction. For example, when the stock market rises and falls more than one percent over a sustained period of time, it is called a 'volatile' market.'

• Compared with the benchmark GLD (18.9%) in the period of the last 5 years, the volatility of 10.3% of Gold-USD Low volatility Sub-strategy is smaller, thus better.
• Looking at historical 30 days volatility in of 10.7% in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively lower, thus better in comparison to GLD (21.5%).

DownVol:

'The downside volatility is similar to the volatility, or standard deviation, but only takes losing/negative periods into account.'

• The downside deviation over 5 years of Gold-USD Low volatility Sub-strategy is 7%, which is smaller, thus better compared to the benchmark GLD (13.3%) in the same period.
• Compared with GLD (15.3%) in the period of the last 3 years, the downside volatility of 7.4% is lower, thus better.

Sharpe:

'The Sharpe ratio was developed by Nobel laureate William F. Sharpe, and is used to help investors understand the return of an investment compared to its risk. The ratio is the average return earned in excess of the risk-free rate per unit of volatility or total risk. Subtracting the risk-free rate from the mean return allows an investor to better isolate the profits associated with risk-taking activities. One intuition of this calculation is that a portfolio engaging in 'zero risk' investments, such as the purchase of U.S. Treasury bills (for which the expected return is the risk-free rate), has a Sharpe ratio of exactly zero. Generally, the greater the value of the Sharpe ratio, the more attractive the risk-adjusted return.'

• The risk / return profile (Sharpe) over 5 years of Gold-USD Low volatility Sub-strategy is 1.17, which is higher, thus better compared to the benchmark GLD (0.85) in the same period.
• During the last 3 years, the ratio of return and volatility (Sharpe) is 1.23, which is lower, thus worse than the value of 1.32 from the benchmark.

Sortino:

'The Sortino ratio measures the risk-adjusted return of an investment asset, portfolio, or strategy. It is a modification of the Sharpe ratio but penalizes only those returns falling below a user-specified target or required rate of return, while the Sharpe ratio penalizes both upside and downside volatility equally. Though both ratios measure an investment's risk-adjusted return, they do so in significantly different ways that will frequently lead to differing conclusions as to the true nature of the investment's return-generating efficiency. The Sortino ratio is used as a way to compare the risk-adjusted performance of programs with differing risk and return profiles. In general, risk-adjusted returns seek to normalize the risk across programs and then see which has the higher return unit per risk.'

• The excess return divided by the downside deviation over 5 years of Gold-USD Low volatility Sub-strategy is 1.72, which is larger, thus better compared to the benchmark GLD (1.2) in the same period.
• During the last 3 years, the downside risk / excess return profile is 1.78, which is lower, thus worse than the value of 1.85 from the benchmark.

Ulcer:

'Ulcer Index is a method for measuring investment risk that addresses the real concerns of investors, unlike the widely used standard deviation of return. UI is a measure of the depth and duration of drawdowns in prices from earlier highs. Using Ulcer Index instead of standard deviation can lead to very different conclusions about investment risk and risk-adjusted return, especially when evaluating strategies that seek to avoid major declines in portfolio value (market timing, dynamic asset allocation, hedge funds, etc.). The Ulcer Index was originally developed in 1987. Since then, it has been widely recognized and adopted by the investment community. According to Nelson Freeburg, editor of Formula Research, Ulcer Index is “perhaps the most fully realized statistical portrait of risk there is.'

• The Ulcer Index over 5 years of Gold-USD Low volatility Sub-strategy is 4.75 , which is lower, thus better compared to the benchmark GLD (9.25 ) in the same period.
• Compared with GLD (8.73 ) in the period of the last 3 years, the Ulcer Index of 5.58 is smaller, thus better.

MaxDD:

'Maximum drawdown is defined as the peak-to-trough decline of an investment during a specific period. It is usually quoted as a percentage of the peak value. The maximum drawdown can be calculated based on absolute returns, in order to identify strategies that suffer less during market downturns, such as low-volatility strategies. However, the maximum drawdown can also be calculated based on returns relative to a benchmark index, for identifying strategies that show steady outperformance over time.'

• Compared with the benchmark GLD (-26.4 days) in the period of the last 5 years, the maximum drop from peak to valley of -15.1 days of Gold-USD Low volatility Sub-strategy is larger, thus better.
• Compared with GLD (-26.4 days) in the period of the last 3 years, the maximum reduction from previous high of -15.1 days is larger, thus better.

MaxDuration:

'The Drawdown Duration is the length of any peak to peak period, or the time between new equity highs. The Max Drawdown Duration is the worst (the maximum/longest) amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs). Many assume Max DD Duration is the length of time between new highs during which the Max DD (magnitude) occurred. But that isn’t always the case. The Max DD duration is the longest time between peaks, period. So it could be the time when the program also had its biggest peak to valley loss (and usually is, because the program needs a long time to recover from the largest loss), but it doesn’t have to be'

• Compared with the benchmark GLD (436 days) in the period of the last 5 years, the maximum days under water of 238 days of Gold-USD Low volatility Sub-strategy is lower, thus better.
• Compared with GLD (169 days) in the period of the last 3 years, the maximum days under water of 238 days is greater, thus worse.

AveDuration:

'The Drawdown Duration is the length of any peak to peak period, or the time between new equity highs. The Avg Drawdown Duration is the average amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs), or in other terms the average of time under water of all drawdowns. So in contrast to the Maximum duration it does not measure only one drawdown event but calculates the average of all.'

• Compared with the benchmark GLD (105 days) in the period of the last 5 years, the average days below previous high of 58 days of Gold-USD Low volatility Sub-strategy is lower, thus better.
• Compared with GLD (35 days) in the period of the last 3 years, the average days below previous high of 64 days is larger, thus worse.