BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy

TotalReturn:

'The total return on a portfolio of investments takes into account not only the capital appreciation on the portfolio, but also the income received on the portfolio. The income typically consists of interest, dividends, and securities lending fees. This contrasts with the price return, which takes into account only the capital gain on an investment.'

• Looking at the total return, or increase in value of 54.2% in the last 5 years of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy, we see it is relatively greater, thus better in comparison to the benchmark AGG (-2.3%)
• Compared with AGG (-5.3%) in the period of the last 3 years, the total return, or increase in value of 11.7% is greater, thus better.

CAGR:

'The compound annual growth rate isn't a true return rate, but rather a representational figure. It is essentially a number that describes the rate at which an investment would have grown if it had grown the same rate every year and the profits were reinvested at the end of each year. In reality, this sort of performance is unlikely. However, CAGR can be used to smooth returns so that they may be more easily understood when compared to alternative investments.'

• Looking at the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.1% in the last 5 years of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy, we see it is relatively greater, thus better in comparison to the benchmark AGG (-0.5%)
• During the last 3 years, the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) is 3.8%, which is higher, thus better than the value of -1.8% from the benchmark.

Volatility:

'Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index. Volatility can either be measured by using the standard deviation or variance between returns from that same security or market index. Commonly, the higher the volatility, the riskier the security. In the securities markets, volatility is often associated with big swings in either direction. For example, when the stock market rises and falls more than one percent over a sustained period of time, it is called a 'volatile' market.'

• Looking at the 30 days standard deviation of 8.7% in the last 5 years of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy, we see it is relatively larger, thus worse in comparison to the benchmark AGG (6.8%)
• During the last 3 years, the 30 days standard deviation is 6.7%, which is lower, thus better than the value of 7.1% from the benchmark.

DownVol:

'The downside volatility is similar to the volatility, or standard deviation, but only takes losing/negative periods into account.'

• The downside risk over 5 years of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is 6.5%, which is larger, thus worse compared to the benchmark AGG (5%) in the same period.
• Compared with AGG (5%) in the period of the last 3 years, the downside risk of 4.8% is lower, thus better.

Sharpe:

'The Sharpe ratio (also known as the Sharpe index, the Sharpe measure, and the reward-to-variability ratio) is a way to examine the performance of an investment by adjusting for its risk. The ratio measures the excess return (or risk premium) per unit of deviation in an investment asset or a trading strategy, typically referred to as risk, named after William F. Sharpe.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (-0.43) in the period of the last 5 years, the ratio of return and volatility (Sharpe) of 0.75 of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is larger, thus better.
• Compared with AGG (-0.61) in the period of the last 3 years, the ratio of return and volatility (Sharpe) of 0.19 is higher, thus better.

Sortino:

'The Sortino ratio improves upon the Sharpe ratio by isolating downside volatility from total volatility by dividing excess return by the downside deviation. The Sortino ratio is a variation of the Sharpe ratio that differentiates harmful volatility from total overall volatility by using the asset's standard deviation of negative asset returns, called downside deviation. The Sortino ratio takes the asset's return and subtracts the risk-free rate, and then divides that amount by the asset's downside deviation. The ratio was named after Frank A. Sortino.'

• The downside risk / excess return profile over 5 years of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is 1.01, which is higher, thus better compared to the benchmark AGG (-0.59) in the same period.
• Compared with AGG (-0.86) in the period of the last 3 years, the excess return divided by the downside deviation of 0.27 is larger, thus better.

Ulcer:

'The Ulcer Index is a technical indicator that measures downside risk, in terms of both the depth and duration of price declines. The index increases in value as the price moves farther away from a recent high and falls as the price rises to new highs. The indicator is usually calculated over a 14-day period, with the Ulcer Index showing the percentage drawdown a trader can expect from the high over that period. The greater the value of the Ulcer Index, the longer it takes for a stock to get back to the former high.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (9.27 ) in the period of the last 5 years, the Downside risk index of 4.89 of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is lower, thus better.
• During the last 3 years, the Downside risk index is 4.66 , which is smaller, thus better than the value of 8.59 from the benchmark.

MaxDD:

'Maximum drawdown is defined as the peak-to-trough decline of an investment during a specific period. It is usually quoted as a percentage of the peak value. The maximum drawdown can be calculated based on absolute returns, in order to identify strategies that suffer less during market downturns, such as low-volatility strategies. However, the maximum drawdown can also be calculated based on returns relative to a benchmark index, for identifying strategies that show steady outperformance over time.'

• The maximum reduction from previous high over 5 years of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is -19.3 days, which is smaller, thus worse compared to the benchmark AGG (-18.4 days) in the same period.
• Compared with AGG (-15.2 days) in the period of the last 3 years, the maximum drop from peak to valley of -9.7 days is greater, thus better.

MaxDuration:

'The Drawdown Duration is the length of any peak to peak period, or the time between new equity highs. The Max Drawdown Duration is the worst (the maximum/longest) amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs) in days.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (1120 days) in the period of the last 5 years, the maximum days below previous high of 545 days of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is smaller, thus better.
• Looking at maximum days under water in of 518 days in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively smaller, thus better in comparison to AGG (750 days).

AveDuration:

'The Average Drawdown Duration is an extension of the Maximum Drawdown. However, this metric does not explain the drawdown in dollars or percentages, rather in days, weeks, or months. The Avg Drawdown Duration is the average amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs), or in other terms the average of time under water of all drawdowns. So in contrast to the Maximum duration it does not measure only one drawdown event but calculates the average of all.'

• The average time in days below previous high water mark over 5 years of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is 146 days, which is lower, thus better compared to the benchmark AGG (518 days) in the same period.
• Compared with AGG (374 days) in the period of the last 3 years, the average days below previous high of 195 days is lower, thus better.