BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy

TotalReturn:

'The total return on a portfolio of investments takes into account not only the capital appreciation on the portfolio, but also the income received on the portfolio. The income typically consists of interest, dividends, and securities lending fees. This contrasts with the price return, which takes into account only the capital gain on an investment.'

• The total return, or increase in value over 5 years of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is 56.4%, which is larger, thus better compared to the benchmark AGG (-0.1%) in the same period.
• Looking at total return, or increase in value in of 7.8% in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively larger, thus better in comparison to AGG (-8.5%).

CAGR:

'The compound annual growth rate isn't a true return rate, but rather a representational figure. It is essentially a number that describes the rate at which an investment would have grown if it had grown the same rate every year and the profits were reinvested at the end of each year. In reality, this sort of performance is unlikely. However, CAGR can be used to smooth returns so that they may be more easily understood when compared to alternative investments.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (0%) in the period of the last 5 years, the annual return (CAGR) of 9.4% of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is greater, thus better.
• Compared with AGG (-2.9%) in the period of the last 3 years, the annual return (CAGR) of 2.5% is higher, thus better.

Volatility:

'Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index. Volatility can either be measured by using the standard deviation or variance between returns from that same security or market index. Commonly, the higher the volatility, the riskier the security. In the securities markets, volatility is often associated with big swings in either direction. For example, when the stock market rises and falls more than one percent over a sustained period of time, it is called a 'volatile' market.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (6.7%) in the period of the last 5 years, the 30 days standard deviation of 8.7% of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is greater, thus worse.
• During the last 3 years, the volatility is 6.3%, which is lower, thus better than the value of 6.9% from the benchmark.

DownVol:

'Risk measures typically quantify the downside risk, whereas the standard deviation (an example of a deviation risk measure) measures both the upside and downside risk. Specifically, downside risk in our definition is the semi-deviation, that is the standard deviation of all negative returns.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (5%) in the period of the last 5 years, the downside risk of 6.5% of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is higher, thus worse.
• Looking at downside deviation in of 4.6% in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively lower, thus better in comparison to AGG (4.9%).

Sharpe:

'The Sharpe ratio (also known as the Sharpe index, the Sharpe measure, and the reward-to-variability ratio) is a way to examine the performance of an investment by adjusting for its risk. The ratio measures the excess return (or risk premium) per unit of deviation in an investment asset or a trading strategy, typically referred to as risk, named after William F. Sharpe.'

• Looking at the risk / return profile (Sharpe) of 0.79 in the last 5 years of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy, we see it is relatively larger, thus better in comparison to the benchmark AGG (-0.37)
• Looking at Sharpe Ratio in of 0.01 in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively greater, thus better in comparison to AGG (-0.78).

Sortino:

'The Sortino ratio improves upon the Sharpe ratio by isolating downside volatility from total volatility by dividing excess return by the downside deviation. The Sortino ratio is a variation of the Sharpe ratio that differentiates harmful volatility from total overall volatility by using the asset's standard deviation of negative asset returns, called downside deviation. The Sortino ratio takes the asset's return and subtracts the risk-free rate, and then divides that amount by the asset's downside deviation. The ratio was named after Frank A. Sortino.'

• The ratio of annual return and downside deviation over 5 years of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is 1.06, which is higher, thus better compared to the benchmark AGG (-0.51) in the same period.
• Compared with AGG (-1.1) in the period of the last 3 years, the downside risk / excess return profile of 0.01 is greater, thus better.

Ulcer:

'The Ulcer Index is a technical indicator that measures downside risk, in terms of both the depth and duration of price declines. The index increases in value as the price moves farther away from a recent high and falls as the price rises to new highs. The indicator is usually calculated over a 14-day period, with the Ulcer Index showing the percentage drawdown a trader can expect from the high over that period. The greater the value of the Ulcer Index, the longer it takes for a stock to get back to the former high.'

• The Downside risk index over 5 years of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is 4.92 , which is lower, thus better compared to the benchmark AGG (8.95 ) in the same period.
• Compared with AGG (11 ) in the period of the last 3 years, the Ulcer Index of 5.66 is lower, thus better.

MaxDD:

'Maximum drawdown measures the loss in any losing period during a fund’s investment record. It is defined as the percent retrenchment from a fund’s peak value to the fund’s valley value. The drawdown is in effect from the time the fund’s retrenchment begins until a new fund high is reached. The maximum drawdown encompasses both the period from the fund’s peak to the fund’s valley (length), and the time from the fund’s valley to a new fund high (recovery). It measures the largest percentage drawdown that has occurred in any fund’s data record.'

• Looking at the maximum reduction from previous high of -19.3 days in the last 5 years of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy, we see it is relatively lower, thus worse in comparison to the benchmark AGG (-18.4 days)
• Looking at maximum DrawDown in of -11 days in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively higher, thus better in comparison to AGG (-17.8 days).

MaxDuration:

'The Drawdown Duration is the length of any peak to peak period, or the time between new equity highs. The Max Drawdown Duration is the worst (the maximum/longest) amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs). Many assume Max DD Duration is the length of time between new highs during which the Max DD (magnitude) occurred. But that isn’t always the case. The Max DD duration is the longest time between peaks, period. So it could be the time when the program also had its biggest peak to valley loss (and usually is, because the program needs a long time to recover from the largest loss), but it doesn’t have to be'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (999 days) in the period of the last 5 years, the maximum time in days below previous high water mark of 545 days of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is smaller, thus better.
• During the last 3 years, the maximum days under water is 545 days, which is lower, thus better than the value of 748 days from the benchmark.

AveDuration:

'The Drawdown Duration is the length of any peak to peak period, or the time between new equity highs. The Avg Drawdown Duration is the average amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs), or in other terms the average of time under water of all drawdowns. So in contrast to the Maximum duration it does not measure only one drawdown event but calculates the average of all.'

• The average days below previous high over 5 years of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is 148 days, which is lower, thus better compared to the benchmark AGG (421 days) in the same period.
• Compared with AGG (373 days) in the period of the last 3 years, the average time in days below previous high water mark of 213 days is smaller, thus better.