BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy

TotalReturn:

'The total return on a portfolio of investments takes into account not only the capital appreciation on the portfolio, but also the income received on the portfolio. The income typically consists of interest, dividends, and securities lending fees. This contrasts with the price return, which takes into account only the capital gain on an investment.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (-4%) in the period of the last 5 years, the total return of 56% of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is higher, thus better.
• Compared with AGG (8.5%) in the period of the last 3 years, the total return of 25.1% is higher, thus better.

CAGR:

'The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is a useful measure of growth over multiple time periods. It can be thought of as the growth rate that gets you from the initial investment value to the ending investment value if you assume that the investment has been compounding over the time period.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (-0.8%) in the period of the last 5 years, the annual performance (CAGR) of 9.3% of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is higher, thus better.
• Looking at annual performance (CAGR) in of 7.8% in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively larger, thus better in comparison to AGG (2.8%).

Volatility:

'Volatility is a rate at which the price of a security increases or decreases for a given set of returns. Volatility is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time. It shows the range to which the price of a security may increase or decrease. Volatility measures the risk of a security. It is used in option pricing formula to gauge the fluctuations in the returns of the underlying assets. Volatility indicates the pricing behavior of the security and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (6%) in the period of the last 5 years, the historical 30 days volatility of 7.4% of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is higher, thus worse.
• During the last 3 years, the historical 30 days volatility is 6.4%, which is lower, thus better than the value of 6.8% from the benchmark.

DownVol:

'The downside volatility is similar to the volatility, or standard deviation, but only takes losing/negative periods into account.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (4.3%) in the period of the last 5 years, the downside deviation of 5.2% of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is greater, thus worse.
• Compared with AGG (4.6%) in the period of the last 3 years, the downside volatility of 4.3% is smaller, thus better.

Sharpe:

'The Sharpe ratio is the measure of risk-adjusted return of a financial portfolio. Sharpe ratio is a measure of excess portfolio return over the risk-free rate relative to its standard deviation. Normally, the 90-day Treasury bill rate is taken as the proxy for risk-free rate. A portfolio with a higher Sharpe ratio is considered superior relative to its peers. The measure was named after William F Sharpe, a Nobel laureate and professor of finance, emeritus at Stanford University.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (-0.55) in the period of the last 5 years, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.92 of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is higher, thus better.
• Looking at risk / return profile (Sharpe) in of 0.83 in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively larger, thus better in comparison to AGG (0.04).

Sortino:

'The Sortino ratio improves upon the Sharpe ratio by isolating downside volatility from total volatility by dividing excess return by the downside deviation. The Sortino ratio is a variation of the Sharpe ratio that differentiates harmful volatility from total overall volatility by using the asset's standard deviation of negative asset returns, called downside deviation. The Sortino ratio takes the asset's return and subtracts the risk-free rate, and then divides that amount by the asset's downside deviation. The ratio was named after Frank A. Sortino.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (-0.78) in the period of the last 5 years, the excess return divided by the downside deviation of 1.31 of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is higher, thus better.
• During the last 3 years, the excess return divided by the downside deviation is 1.22, which is larger, thus better than the value of 0.06 from the benchmark.

Ulcer:

'The ulcer index is a stock market risk measure or technical analysis indicator devised by Peter Martin in 1987, and published by him and Byron McCann in their 1989 book The Investors Guide to Fidelity Funds. It's designed as a measure of volatility, but only volatility in the downward direction, i.e. the amount of drawdown or retracement occurring over a period. Other volatility measures like standard deviation treat up and down movement equally, but a trader doesn't mind upward movement, it's the downside that causes stress and stomach ulcers that the index's name suggests.'

• The Downside risk index over 5 years of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is 4.5 , which is lower, thus better compared to the benchmark AGG (9.5 ) in the same period.
• Looking at Ulcer Ratio in of 2.2 in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively lower, thus better in comparison to AGG (3.78 ).

MaxDD:

'Maximum drawdown is defined as the peak-to-trough decline of an investment during a specific period. It is usually quoted as a percentage of the peak value. The maximum drawdown can be calculated based on absolute returns, in order to identify strategies that suffer less during market downturns, such as low-volatility strategies. However, the maximum drawdown can also be calculated based on returns relative to a benchmark index, for identifying strategies that show steady outperformance over time.'

• The maximum DrawDown over 5 years of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is -11 days, which is higher, thus better compared to the benchmark AGG (-18.4 days) in the same period.
• Looking at maximum DrawDown in of -6 days in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively greater, thus better in comparison to AGG (-9.8 days).

MaxDuration:

'The Maximum Drawdown Duration is an extension of the Maximum Drawdown. However, this metric does not explain the drawdown in dollars or percentages, rather in days, weeks, or months. It is the length of time the account was in the Max Drawdown. A Max Drawdown measures a retrenchment from when an equity curve reaches a new high. It’s the maximum an account lost during that retrenchment. This method is applied because a valley can’t be measured until a new high occurs. Once the new high is reached, the percentage change from the old high to the bottom of the largest trough is recorded.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (1230 days) in the period of the last 5 years, the maximum days under water of 545 days of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is lower, thus better.
• Compared with AGG (487 days) in the period of the last 3 years, the maximum days under water of 208 days is smaller, thus better.

AveDuration:

'The Average Drawdown Duration is an extension of the Maximum Drawdown. However, this metric does not explain the drawdown in dollars or percentages, rather in days, weeks, or months. The Avg Drawdown Duration is the average amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs), or in other terms the average of time under water of all drawdowns. So in contrast to the Maximum duration it does not measure only one drawdown event but calculates the average of all.'

• Looking at the average time in days below previous high water mark of 145 days in the last 5 years of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy, we see it is relatively lower, thus better in comparison to the benchmark AGG (612 days)
• During the last 3 years, the average days under water is 48 days, which is lower, thus better than the value of 191 days from the benchmark.