BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy

TotalReturn:

'The total return on a portfolio of investments takes into account not only the capital appreciation on the portfolio, but also the income received on the portfolio. The income typically consists of interest, dividends, and securities lending fees. This contrasts with the price return, which takes into account only the capital gain on an investment.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (-1.5%) in the period of the last 5 years, the total return of 40.8% of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is larger, thus better.
• Looking at total return, or increase in value in of 39.1% in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively greater, thus better in comparison to AGG (11%).

CAGR:

'The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is a useful measure of growth over multiple time periods. It can be thought of as the growth rate that gets you from the initial investment value to the ending investment value if you assume that the investment has been compounding over the time period.'

• The annual return (CAGR) over 5 years of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is 7.1%, which is greater, thus better compared to the benchmark AGG (-0.3%) in the same period.
• Looking at annual performance (CAGR) in of 11.7% in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively greater, thus better in comparison to AGG (3.6%).

Volatility:

'Volatility is a rate at which the price of a security increases or decreases for a given set of returns. Volatility is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time. It shows the range to which the price of a security may increase or decrease. Volatility measures the risk of a security. It is used in option pricing formula to gauge the fluctuations in the returns of the underlying assets. Volatility indicates the pricing behavior of the security and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time.'

• Looking at the historical 30 days volatility of 7% in the last 5 years of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy, we see it is relatively higher, thus worse in comparison to the benchmark AGG (6.1%)
• Compared with AGG (5.8%) in the period of the last 3 years, the historical 30 days volatility of 6.6% is larger, thus worse.

DownVol:

'Risk measures typically quantify the downside risk, whereas the standard deviation (an example of a deviation risk measure) measures both the upside and downside risk. Specifically, downside risk in our definition is the semi-deviation, that is the standard deviation of all negative returns.'

• The downside deviation over 5 years of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is 4.9%, which is larger, thus worse compared to the benchmark AGG (4.3%) in the same period.
• Compared with AGG (4%) in the period of the last 3 years, the downside volatility of 4.5% is greater, thus worse.

Sharpe:

'The Sharpe ratio is the measure of risk-adjusted return of a financial portfolio. Sharpe ratio is a measure of excess portfolio return over the risk-free rate relative to its standard deviation. Normally, the 90-day Treasury bill rate is taken as the proxy for risk-free rate. A portfolio with a higher Sharpe ratio is considered superior relative to its peers. The measure was named after William F Sharpe, a Nobel laureate and professor of finance, emeritus at Stanford University.'

• Looking at the ratio of return and volatility (Sharpe) of 0.66 in the last 5 years of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy, we see it is relatively greater, thus better in comparison to the benchmark AGG (-0.46)
• During the last 3 years, the Sharpe Ratio is 1.4, which is higher, thus better than the value of 0.18 from the benchmark.

Sortino:

'The Sortino ratio, a variation of the Sharpe ratio only factors in the downside, or negative volatility, rather than the total volatility used in calculating the Sharpe ratio. The theory behind the Sortino variation is that upside volatility is a plus for the investment, and it, therefore, should not be included in the risk calculation. Therefore, the Sortino ratio takes upside volatility out of the equation and uses only the downside standard deviation in its calculation instead of the total standard deviation that is used in calculating the Sharpe ratio.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (-0.66) in the period of the last 5 years, the excess return divided by the downside deviation of 0.93 of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is higher, thus better.
• Compared with AGG (0.26) in the period of the last 3 years, the excess return divided by the downside deviation of 2.07 is higher, thus better.

Ulcer:

'The Ulcer Index is a technical indicator that measures downside risk, in terms of both the depth and duration of price declines. The index increases in value as the price moves farther away from a recent high and falls as the price rises to new highs. The indicator is usually calculated over a 14-day period, with the Ulcer Index showing the percentage drawdown a trader can expect from the high over that period. The greater the value of the Ulcer Index, the longer it takes for a stock to get back to the former high.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (9 ) in the period of the last 5 years, the Downside risk index of 4.49 of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is lower, thus better.
• During the last 3 years, the Ulcer Ratio is 1.55 , which is smaller, thus better than the value of 2.32 from the benchmark.

MaxDD:

'Maximum drawdown measures the loss in any losing period during a fund’s investment record. It is defined as the percent retrenchment from a fund’s peak value to the fund’s valley value. The drawdown is in effect from the time the fund’s retrenchment begins until a new fund high is reached. The maximum drawdown encompasses both the period from the fund’s peak to the fund’s valley (length), and the time from the fund’s valley to a new fund high (recovery). It measures the largest percentage drawdown that has occurred in any fund’s data record.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (-17.8 days) in the period of the last 5 years, the maximum DrawDown of -11 days of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is greater, thus better.
• Compared with AGG (-7.4 days) in the period of the last 3 years, the maximum reduction from previous high of -4.7 days is greater, thus better.

MaxDuration:

'The Maximum Drawdown Duration is an extension of the Maximum Drawdown. However, this metric does not explain the drawdown in dollars or percentages, rather in days, weeks, or months. It is the length of time the account was in the Max Drawdown. A Max Drawdown measures a retrenchment from when an equity curve reaches a new high. It’s the maximum an account lost during that retrenchment. This method is applied because a valley can’t be measured until a new high occurs. Once the new high is reached, the percentage change from the old high to the bottom of the largest trough is recorded.'

• Looking at the maximum days under water of 545 days in the last 5 years of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy, we see it is relatively lower, thus better in comparison to the benchmark AGG (1120 days)
• During the last 3 years, the maximum days below previous high is 94 days, which is lower, thus better than the value of 195 days from the benchmark.

AveDuration:

'The Drawdown Duration is the length of any peak to peak period, or the time between new equity highs. The Avg Drawdown Duration is the average amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs), or in other terms the average of time under water of all drawdowns. So in contrast to the Maximum duration it does not measure only one drawdown event but calculates the average of all.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (508 days) in the period of the last 5 years, the average days below previous high of 144 days of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is lower, thus better.
• Looking at average time in days below previous high water mark in of 25 days in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively smaller, thus better in comparison to AGG (61 days).