The World Country Top 4 Strategy is a momentum driven strategy that invests in the top four single country ETFs. It will add geographic diversity to your portfolio with significant non-U.S. equity exposure.

The strategy consists of four sub-strategies. Each sub-strategy invests in the best country ETF in a specific geographic area (i.e., Africa, Asia, Latin America, etc). These strategies are then combined to yield four country ETFs that come from different geographic segments, thus avoiding overconcentration. So even if one region is outperforming all the other areas, this strategy will still diversify among three additional top performing regions.

Like our other equity-based strategies, this strategy is hedged with a sub-strategy (HEDGE) that includes, amongst others, safe heaven assets like treasuries and gold.

Country ETFs:

- AFK Market Vectors Africa Index
- ASHR Deutsche X-Trackers CSI 300 China A Shares
- ECH iShares MSCI Chile Fund
- EGPT Market Vectors Egypt Index
- EIDO iShares MSCI Indonesia Index
- EIRL iShares MSCI Ireland Capped
- EIS iShares MSCI Israel
- ENZL iShares MSCI New Zealand Investable Market
- EPHE iShares MSCI Philippines
- EPI WisdomTree India Earnings Index
- EPOL iShares MSCI Poland Index
- EPU iShares MSCI Peru Index
- EWA iShares MSCI Australia Index Fund
- EWC iShares MSCI Canada Index Fund
- EWD iShares MSCI Sweden Index
- EWG iShares MSCI Germany Index
- EWH iShares MSCI Hong Kong Index Fund
- EWI iShares MSCI Italy Index
- EWJ iShares MSCI Japan Index Fund
- EWK iShares MSCI Belgium Index
- EWL iShares MSCI Switzerland
- EWM iShares MSCI Malaysia Index Fund
- EWN iShares MSCI Netherlands Index
- EWO iShares MSCI Austria Index
- EWP iShares MSCI Spain Index
- EWQ iShares MSCI France
- EWS iShares MSCI Singapore Index
- EWT iShares MSCI Taiwan Index Fund
- EWU iShares MSCI United Kingdom Index
- EWW iShares MSCI Mexico Index Fund
- EWY iShares MSCI South Korea Index Fund
- EWZ iShares MSCI Brazil Index Fund
- EZA iShares MSCI South Africa Index
- FM iShares MSCI Frontier Markets ETF
- FRN Guggenheim BNY Mellon Frontier Mkts
- FXI iShares FTSE China 25 Index Fund
- GAF SPDR S&P E.M. Middle East & Africa
- GULF WisdomTree Middle East Dividend Index
- GREK Global X FTSE Greece 20
- GXG Global X Interbolsa FTSE Colombia 20
- IDX Market Vectors Indonesia
- MCHI iShares MSCI China Index
- MES Market Vectors DJ Gulf States (GCC) Titans
- NORW Global X FTSE Norway 30 ETF
- QQQ PowerShares Nasdaq-100 Index
- RSX Market Vectors DAXglobal Russia
- THD iShares MSCI Thailand Index
- TUR iShares MSCI Turkey
- VNM Market Vectors Vietnam

'The total return on a portfolio of investments takes into account not only the capital appreciation on the portfolio, but also the income received on the portfolio. The income typically consists of interest, dividends, and securities lending fees. This contrasts with the price return, which takes into account only the capital gain on an investment.'

Which means for our asset as example:- Compared with the benchmark ACWI (68.2%) in the period of the last 5 years, the total return of 55.7% of World Top 4 Strategy is smaller, thus worse.
- During the last 3 years, the total return is 17.6%, which is smaller, thus worse than the value of 30.3% from the benchmark.

'The compound annual growth rate isn't a true return rate, but rather a representational figure. It is essentially a number that describes the rate at which an investment would have grown if it had grown the same rate every year and the profits were reinvested at the end of each year. In reality, this sort of performance is unlikely. However, CAGR can be used to smooth returns so that they may be more easily understood when compared to alternative investments.'

Using this definition on our asset we see for example:- Looking at the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.3% in the last 5 years of World Top 4 Strategy, we see it is relatively lower, thus worse in comparison to the benchmark ACWI (11%)
- During the last 3 years, the annual performance (CAGR) is 5.6%, which is smaller, thus worse than the value of 9.2% from the benchmark.

'Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index. Volatility can either be measured by using the standard deviation or variance between returns from that same security or market index. Commonly, the higher the volatility, the riskier the security. In the securities markets, volatility is often associated with big swings in either direction. For example, when the stock market rises and falls more than one percent over a sustained period of time, it is called a 'volatile' market.'

Applying this definition to our asset in some examples:- Compared with the benchmark ACWI (18.4%) in the period of the last 5 years, the historical 30 days volatility of 8.3% of World Top 4 Strategy is lower, thus better.
- During the last 3 years, the 30 days standard deviation is 9.8%, which is smaller, thus better than the value of 21.6% from the benchmark.

'Risk measures typically quantify the downside risk, whereas the standard deviation (an example of a deviation risk measure) measures both the upside and downside risk. Specifically, downside risk in our definition is the semi-deviation, that is the standard deviation of all negative returns.'

Applying this definition to our asset in some examples:- Looking at the downside risk of 5.9% in the last 5 years of World Top 4 Strategy, we see it is relatively lower, thus better in comparison to the benchmark ACWI (13.7%)
- Looking at downside deviation in of 7.3% in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively lower, thus better in comparison to ACWI (16.2%).

'The Sharpe ratio was developed by Nobel laureate William F. Sharpe, and is used to help investors understand the return of an investment compared to its risk. The ratio is the average return earned in excess of the risk-free rate per unit of volatility or total risk. Subtracting the risk-free rate from the mean return allows an investor to better isolate the profits associated with risk-taking activities. One intuition of this calculation is that a portfolio engaging in 'zero risk' investments, such as the purchase of U.S. Treasury bills (for which the expected return is the risk-free rate), has a Sharpe ratio of exactly zero. Generally, the greater the value of the Sharpe ratio, the more attractive the risk-adjusted return.'

Applying this definition to our asset in some examples:- Compared with the benchmark ACWI (0.46) in the period of the last 5 years, the risk / return profile (Sharpe) of 0.82 of World Top 4 Strategy is higher, thus better.
- During the last 3 years, the ratio of return and volatility (Sharpe) is 0.31, which is greater, thus better than the value of 0.31 from the benchmark.

'The Sortino ratio, a variation of the Sharpe ratio only factors in the downside, or negative volatility, rather than the total volatility used in calculating the Sharpe ratio. The theory behind the Sortino variation is that upside volatility is a plus for the investment, and it, therefore, should not be included in the risk calculation. Therefore, the Sortino ratio takes upside volatility out of the equation and uses only the downside standard deviation in its calculation instead of the total standard deviation that is used in calculating the Sharpe ratio.'

Applying this definition to our asset in some examples:- The ratio of annual return and downside deviation over 5 years of World Top 4 Strategy is 1.14, which is larger, thus better compared to the benchmark ACWI (0.62) in the same period.
- Looking at downside risk / excess return profile in of 0.42 in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively higher, thus better in comparison to ACWI (0.42).

'Ulcer Index is a method for measuring investment risk that addresses the real concerns of investors, unlike the widely used standard deviation of return. UI is a measure of the depth and duration of drawdowns in prices from earlier highs. Using Ulcer Index instead of standard deviation can lead to very different conclusions about investment risk and risk-adjusted return, especially when evaluating strategies that seek to avoid major declines in portfolio value (market timing, dynamic asset allocation, hedge funds, etc.). The Ulcer Index was originally developed in 1987. Since then, it has been widely recognized and adopted by the investment community. According to Nelson Freeburg, editor of Formula Research, Ulcer Index is “perhaps the most fully realized statistical portrait of risk there is.'

Which means for our asset as example:- Looking at the Ulcer Ratio of 2.35 in the last 5 years of World Top 4 Strategy, we see it is relatively smaller, thus better in comparison to the benchmark ACWI (6.56 )
- During the last 3 years, the Ulcer Index is 2.92 , which is lower, thus better than the value of 8.03 from the benchmark.

'Maximum drawdown measures the loss in any losing period during a fund’s investment record. It is defined as the percent retrenchment from a fund’s peak value to the fund’s valley value. The drawdown is in effect from the time the fund’s retrenchment begins until a new fund high is reached. The maximum drawdown encompasses both the period from the fund’s peak to the fund’s valley (length), and the time from the fund’s valley to a new fund high (recovery). It measures the largest percentage drawdown that has occurred in any fund’s data record.'

Using this definition on our asset we see for example:- Compared with the benchmark ACWI (-33.5 days) in the period of the last 5 years, the maximum drop from peak to valley of -17.1 days of World Top 4 Strategy is larger, thus better.
- During the last 3 years, the maximum reduction from previous high is -17.1 days, which is higher, thus better than the value of -33.5 days from the benchmark.

'The Drawdown Duration is the length of any peak to peak period, or the time between new equity highs. The Max Drawdown Duration is the worst (the maximum/longest) amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs). Many assume Max DD Duration is the length of time between new highs during which the Max DD (magnitude) occurred. But that isn’t always the case. The Max DD duration is the longest time between peaks, period. So it could be the time when the program also had its biggest peak to valley loss (and usually is, because the program needs a long time to recover from the largest loss), but it doesn’t have to be'

Applying this definition to our asset in some examples:- Looking at the maximum days below previous high of 148 days in the last 5 years of World Top 4 Strategy, we see it is relatively lower, thus better in comparison to the benchmark ACWI (373 days)
- Compared with ACWI (373 days) in the period of the last 3 years, the maximum days under water of 148 days is lower, thus better.

'The Average Drawdown Duration is an extension of the Maximum Drawdown. However, this metric does not explain the drawdown in dollars or percentages, rather in days, weeks, or months. The Avg Drawdown Duration is the average amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs), or in other terms the average of time under water of all drawdowns. So in contrast to the Maximum duration it does not measure only one drawdown event but calculates the average of all.'

Applying this definition to our asset in some examples:- The average days under water over 5 years of World Top 4 Strategy is 31 days, which is lower, thus better compared to the benchmark ACWI (82 days) in the same period.
- Compared with ACWI (119 days) in the period of the last 3 years, the average days under water of 40 days is lower, thus better.

Historical returns have been extended using synthetic data.
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- Note that yearly returns do not equal the sum of monthly returns due to compounding.
- Performance results of World Top 4 Strategy are hypothetical, do not account for slippage, fees or taxes, and are based on backtesting, which has many inherent limitations, some of which are described in our Terms of Use.