The Global Sector Rotation Strategy unhedged

TotalReturn:

'Total return, when measuring performance, is the actual rate of return of an investment or a pool of investments over a given evaluation period. Total return includes interest, capital gains, dividends and distributions realized over a given period of time. Total return accounts for two categories of return: income including interest paid by fixed-income investments, distributions or dividends and capital appreciation, representing the change in the market price of an asset.'

• Compared with the benchmark SPY (68.2%) in the period of the last 5 years, the total return, or performance of 104.8% of The Global Sector Rotation Strategy unhedged is higher, thus better.
• Looking at total return, or performance in of 73.5% in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively higher, thus better in comparison to SPY (47.7%).

CAGR:

'The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is a useful measure of growth over multiple time periods. It can be thought of as the growth rate that gets you from the initial investment value to the ending investment value if you assume that the investment has been compounding over the time period.'

• Compared with the benchmark SPY (11%) in the period of the last 5 years, the annual performance (CAGR) of 15.4% of The Global Sector Rotation Strategy unhedged is higher, thus better.
• Looking at annual performance (CAGR) in of 20.2% in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively larger, thus better in comparison to SPY (13.9%).

Volatility:

'Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index. Volatility can either be measured by using the standard deviation or variance between returns from that same security or market index. Commonly, the higher the volatility, the riskier the security. In the securities markets, volatility is often associated with big swings in either direction. For example, when the stock market rises and falls more than one percent over a sustained period of time, it is called a 'volatile' market.'

• The 30 days standard deviation over 5 years of The Global Sector Rotation Strategy unhedged is 13.5%, which is larger, thus worse compared to the benchmark SPY (13.2%) in the same period.
• During the last 3 years, the volatility is 13.7%, which is greater, thus worse than the value of 12.4% from the benchmark.

DownVol:

'Risk measures typically quantify the downside risk, whereas the standard deviation (an example of a deviation risk measure) measures both the upside and downside risk. Specifically, downside risk in our definition is the semi-deviation, that is the standard deviation of all negative returns.'

• Looking at the downside deviation of 14.7% in the last 5 years of The Global Sector Rotation Strategy unhedged, we see it is relatively greater, thus worse in comparison to the benchmark SPY (14.6%)
• Looking at downside deviation in of 15.4% in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively larger, thus worse in comparison to SPY (14%).

Sharpe:

'The Sharpe ratio was developed by Nobel laureate William F. Sharpe, and is used to help investors understand the return of an investment compared to its risk. The ratio is the average return earned in excess of the risk-free rate per unit of volatility or total risk. Subtracting the risk-free rate from the mean return allows an investor to better isolate the profits associated with risk-taking activities. One intuition of this calculation is that a portfolio engaging in 'zero risk' investments, such as the purchase of U.S. Treasury bills (for which the expected return is the risk-free rate), has a Sharpe ratio of exactly zero. Generally, the greater the value of the Sharpe ratio, the more attractive the risk-adjusted return.'

• The risk / return profile (Sharpe) over 5 years of The Global Sector Rotation Strategy unhedged is 0.96, which is larger, thus better compared to the benchmark SPY (0.64) in the same period.
• Compared with SPY (0.92) in the period of the last 3 years, the Sharpe Ratio of 1.29 is larger, thus better.

Sortino:

'The Sortino ratio improves upon the Sharpe ratio by isolating downside volatility from total volatility by dividing excess return by the downside deviation. The Sortino ratio is a variation of the Sharpe ratio that differentiates harmful volatility from total overall volatility by using the asset's standard deviation of negative asset returns, called downside deviation. The Sortino ratio takes the asset's return and subtracts the risk-free rate, and then divides that amount by the asset's downside deviation. The ratio was named after Frank A. Sortino.'

• Compared with the benchmark SPY (0.58) in the period of the last 5 years, the excess return divided by the downside deviation of 0.88 of The Global Sector Rotation Strategy unhedged is higher, thus better.
• Looking at ratio of annual return and downside deviation in of 1.15 in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively greater, thus better in comparison to SPY (0.81).

Ulcer:

'Ulcer Index is a method for measuring investment risk that addresses the real concerns of investors, unlike the widely used standard deviation of return. UI is a measure of the depth and duration of drawdowns in prices from earlier highs. Using Ulcer Index instead of standard deviation can lead to very different conclusions about investment risk and risk-adjusted return, especially when evaluating strategies that seek to avoid major declines in portfolio value (market timing, dynamic asset allocation, hedge funds, etc.). The Ulcer Index was originally developed in 1987. Since then, it has been widely recognized and adopted by the investment community. According to Nelson Freeburg, editor of Formula Research, Ulcer Index is “perhaps the most fully realized statistical portrait of risk there is.'

• Compared with the benchmark SPY (3.95 ) in the period of the last 5 years, the Ulcer Index of 5.22 of The Global Sector Rotation Strategy unhedged is larger, thus better.
• During the last 3 years, the Downside risk index is 5.89 , which is larger, thus better than the value of 4 from the benchmark.

MaxDD:

'A maximum drawdown is the maximum loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio, before a new peak is attained. Maximum Drawdown is an indicator of downside risk over a specified time period. It can be used both as a stand-alone measure or as an input into other metrics such as 'Return over Maximum Drawdown' and the Calmar Ratio. Maximum Drawdown is expressed in percentage terms.'

• Looking at the maximum DrawDown of -14.2 days in the last 5 years of The Global Sector Rotation Strategy unhedged, we see it is relatively larger, thus better in comparison to the benchmark SPY (-19.3 days)
• Compared with SPY (-19.3 days) in the period of the last 3 years, the maximum DrawDown of -14.2 days is higher, thus better.

MaxDuration:

'The Drawdown Duration is the length of any peak to peak period, or the time between new equity highs. The Max Drawdown Duration is the worst (the maximum/longest) amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs) in days.'

• Compared with the benchmark SPY (187 days) in the period of the last 5 years, the maximum time in days below previous high water mark of 281 days of The Global Sector Rotation Strategy unhedged is larger, thus worse.
• Looking at maximum days under water in of 281 days in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively larger, thus worse in comparison to SPY (131 days).

AveDuration:

'The Drawdown Duration is the length of any peak to peak period, or the time between new equity highs. The Avg Drawdown Duration is the average amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs), or in other terms the average of time under water of all drawdowns. So in contrast to the Maximum duration it does not measure only one drawdown event but calculates the average of all.'

• The average days below previous high over 5 years of The Global Sector Rotation Strategy unhedged is 73 days, which is larger, thus worse compared to the benchmark SPY (39 days) in the same period.
• Compared with SPY (33 days) in the period of the last 3 years, the average days under water of 73 days is greater, thus worse.