Description

This is the unhedged version of our Global Market Rotation Strategy, together with the Hedge strategy it blends the hedged Global Market Rotation Strategy

Statistics (YTD)

What do these metrics mean? [Read More] [Hide]

TotalReturn:

'The total return on a portfolio of investments takes into account not only the capital appreciation on the portfolio, but also the income received on the portfolio. The income typically consists of interest, dividends, and securities lending fees. This contrasts with the price return, which takes into account only the capital gain on an investment.'

Which means for our asset as example:
  • The total return, or performance over 5 years of GMRS Unhedged Sub-strategy is 126.1%, which is greater, thus better compared to the benchmark ACWI (76.8%) in the same period.
  • During the last 3 years, the total return, or increase in value is 58.2%, which is larger, thus better than the value of 52.5% from the benchmark.

CAGR:

'The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is a useful measure of growth over multiple time periods. It can be thought of as the growth rate that gets you from the initial investment value to the ending investment value if you assume that the investment has been compounding over the time period.'

Using this definition on our asset we see for example:
  • Looking at the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.7% in the last 5 years of GMRS Unhedged Sub-strategy, we see it is relatively higher, thus better in comparison to the benchmark ACWI (12.1%)
  • Compared with ACWI (15.1%) in the period of the last 3 years, the annual return (CAGR) of 16.5% is higher, thus better.

Volatility:

'Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index. Volatility can either be measured by using the standard deviation or variance between returns from that same security or market index. Commonly, the higher the volatility, the riskier the security. In the securities markets, volatility is often associated with big swings in either direction. For example, when the stock market rises and falls more than one percent over a sustained period of time, it is called a 'volatile' market.'

Using this definition on our asset we see for example:
  • Compared with the benchmark ACWI (18%) in the period of the last 5 years, the 30 days standard deviation of 18.5% of GMRS Unhedged Sub-strategy is higher, thus worse.
  • Compared with ACWI (21%) in the period of the last 3 years, the historical 30 days volatility of 21.5% is larger, thus worse.

DownVol:

'Downside risk is the financial risk associated with losses. That is, it is the risk of the actual return being below the expected return, or the uncertainty about the magnitude of that difference. Risk measures typically quantify the downside risk, whereas the standard deviation (an example of a deviation risk measure) measures both the upside and downside risk. Specifically, downside risk in our definition is the semi-deviation, that is the standard deviation of all negative returns.'

Which means for our asset as example:
  • The downside risk over 5 years of GMRS Unhedged Sub-strategy is 13.7%, which is greater, thus worse compared to the benchmark ACWI (13.3%) in the same period.
  • Looking at downside volatility in of 16% in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively larger, thus worse in comparison to ACWI (15.6%).

Sharpe:

'The Sharpe ratio is the measure of risk-adjusted return of a financial portfolio. Sharpe ratio is a measure of excess portfolio return over the risk-free rate relative to its standard deviation. Normally, the 90-day Treasury bill rate is taken as the proxy for risk-free rate. A portfolio with a higher Sharpe ratio is considered superior relative to its peers. The measure was named after William F Sharpe, a Nobel laureate and professor of finance, emeritus at Stanford University.'

Applying this definition to our asset in some examples:
  • Looking at the risk / return profile (Sharpe) of 0.82 in the last 5 years of GMRS Unhedged Sub-strategy, we see it is relatively higher, thus better in comparison to the benchmark ACWI (0.53)
  • During the last 3 years, the Sharpe Ratio is 0.65, which is larger, thus better than the value of 0.6 from the benchmark.

Sortino:

'The Sortino ratio measures the risk-adjusted return of an investment asset, portfolio, or strategy. It is a modification of the Sharpe ratio but penalizes only those returns falling below a user-specified target or required rate of return, while the Sharpe ratio penalizes both upside and downside volatility equally. Though both ratios measure an investment's risk-adjusted return, they do so in significantly different ways that will frequently lead to differing conclusions as to the true nature of the investment's return-generating efficiency. The Sortino ratio is used as a way to compare the risk-adjusted performance of programs with differing risk and return profiles. In general, risk-adjusted returns seek to normalize the risk across programs and then see which has the higher return unit per risk.'

Which means for our asset as example:
  • The downside risk / excess return profile over 5 years of GMRS Unhedged Sub-strategy is 1.12, which is greater, thus better compared to the benchmark ACWI (0.72) in the same period.
  • During the last 3 years, the excess return divided by the downside deviation is 0.88, which is larger, thus better than the value of 0.81 from the benchmark.

Ulcer:

'The Ulcer Index is a technical indicator that measures downside risk, in terms of both the depth and duration of price declines. The index increases in value as the price moves farther away from a recent high and falls as the price rises to new highs. The indicator is usually calculated over a 14-day period, with the Ulcer Index showing the percentage drawdown a trader can expect from the high over that period. The greater the value of the Ulcer Index, the longer it takes for a stock to get back to the former high.'

Using this definition on our asset we see for example:
  • Compared with the benchmark ACWI (6.29 ) in the period of the last 5 years, the Ulcer Ratio of 4.91 of GMRS Unhedged Sub-strategy is lower, thus better.
  • During the last 3 years, the Ulcer Ratio is 5.93 , which is lower, thus better than the value of 6.4 from the benchmark.

MaxDD:

'A maximum drawdown is the maximum loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio, before a new peak is attained. Maximum Drawdown is an indicator of downside risk over a specified time period. It can be used both as a stand-alone measure or as an input into other metrics such as 'Return over Maximum Drawdown' and the Calmar Ratio. Maximum Drawdown is expressed in percentage terms.'

Which means for our asset as example:
  • Compared with the benchmark ACWI (-33.5 days) in the period of the last 5 years, the maximum DrawDown of -31.1 days of GMRS Unhedged Sub-strategy is greater, thus better.
  • During the last 3 years, the maximum drop from peak to valley is -31.1 days, which is greater, thus better than the value of -33.5 days from the benchmark.

MaxDuration:

'The Maximum Drawdown Duration is an extension of the Maximum Drawdown. However, this metric does not explain the drawdown in dollars or percentages, rather in days, weeks, or months. It is the length of time the account was in the Max Drawdown. A Max Drawdown measures a retrenchment from when an equity curve reaches a new high. It’s the maximum an account lost during that retrenchment. This method is applied because a valley can’t be measured until a new high occurs. Once the new high is reached, the percentage change from the old high to the bottom of the largest trough is recorded.'

Applying this definition to our asset in some examples:
  • Compared with the benchmark ACWI (373 days) in the period of the last 5 years, the maximum days below previous high of 98 days of GMRS Unhedged Sub-strategy is lower, thus better.
  • Compared with ACWI (133 days) in the period of the last 3 years, the maximum days under water of 98 days is lower, thus better.

AveDuration:

'The Drawdown Duration is the length of any peak to peak period, or the time between new equity highs. The Avg Drawdown Duration is the average amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs), or in other terms the average of time under water of all drawdowns. So in contrast to the Maximum duration it does not measure only one drawdown event but calculates the average of all.'

Which means for our asset as example:
  • Compared with the benchmark ACWI (80 days) in the period of the last 5 years, the average days under water of 20 days of GMRS Unhedged Sub-strategy is lower, thus better.
  • Compared with ACWI (25 days) in the period of the last 3 years, the average days below previous high of 22 days is lower, thus better.

Performance (YTD)

Historical returns have been extended using synthetic data.

Allocations ()

Allocations

Returns (%)

  • Note that yearly returns do not equal the sum of monthly returns due to compounding.
  • Performance results of GMRS Unhedged Sub-strategy are hypothetical, do not account for slippage, fees or taxes, and are based on backtesting, which has many inherent limitations, some of which are described in our Terms of Use.