Description

This is the unhedged version of our Global Market Rotation Strategy, together with the Hedge strategy it blends the hedged Global Market Rotation Strategy

Statistics (YTD)

What do these metrics mean? [Read More] [Hide]

TotalReturn:

'Total return is the amount of value an investor earns from a security over a specific period, typically one year, when all distributions are reinvested. Total return is expressed as a percentage of the amount invested. For example, a total return of 20% means the security increased by 20% of its original value due to a price increase, distribution of dividends (if a stock), coupons (if a bond) or capital gains (if a fund). Total return is a strong measure of an investment’s overall performance.'

Applying this definition to our asset in some examples:
  • Looking at the total return, or performance of 88.2% in the last 5 years of GMRS Unhedged Sub-strategy, we see it is relatively greater, thus better in comparison to the benchmark ACWI (65.4%)
  • Looking at total return, or increase in value in of 69.4% in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively larger, thus better in comparison to ACWI (67.7%).

CAGR:

'The compound annual growth rate isn't a true return rate, but rather a representational figure. It is essentially a number that describes the rate at which an investment would have grown if it had grown the same rate every year and the profits were reinvested at the end of each year. In reality, this sort of performance is unlikely. However, CAGR can be used to smooth returns so that they may be more easily understood when compared to alternative investments.'

Applying this definition to our asset in some examples:
  • Compared with the benchmark ACWI (10.6%) in the period of the last 5 years, the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.5% of GMRS Unhedged Sub-strategy is greater, thus better.
  • Looking at annual performance (CAGR) in of 19.3% in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively higher, thus better in comparison to ACWI (18.9%).

Volatility:

'In finance, volatility (symbol σ) is the degree of variation of a trading price series over time as measured by the standard deviation of logarithmic returns. Historic volatility measures a time series of past market prices. Implied volatility looks forward in time, being derived from the market price of a market-traded derivative (in particular, an option). Commonly, the higher the volatility, the riskier the security.'

Which means for our asset as example:
  • The historical 30 days volatility over 5 years of GMRS Unhedged Sub-strategy is 16.3%, which is higher, thus worse compared to the benchmark ACWI (15.9%) in the same period.
  • Looking at 30 days standard deviation in of 15.6% in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively higher, thus worse in comparison to ACWI (14%).

DownVol:

'Downside risk is the financial risk associated with losses. That is, it is the risk of the actual return being below the expected return, or the uncertainty about the magnitude of that difference. Risk measures typically quantify the downside risk, whereas the standard deviation (an example of a deviation risk measure) measures both the upside and downside risk. Specifically, downside risk in our definition is the semi-deviation, that is the standard deviation of all negative returns.'

Applying this definition to our asset in some examples:
  • Compared with the benchmark ACWI (10.9%) in the period of the last 5 years, the downside deviation of 11.4% of GMRS Unhedged Sub-strategy is greater, thus worse.
  • During the last 3 years, the downside risk is 10.7%, which is greater, thus worse than the value of 9.4% from the benchmark.

Sharpe:

'The Sharpe ratio is the measure of risk-adjusted return of a financial portfolio. Sharpe ratio is a measure of excess portfolio return over the risk-free rate relative to its standard deviation. Normally, the 90-day Treasury bill rate is taken as the proxy for risk-free rate. A portfolio with a higher Sharpe ratio is considered superior relative to its peers. The measure was named after William F Sharpe, a Nobel laureate and professor of finance, emeritus at Stanford University.'

Applying this definition to our asset in some examples:
  • The Sharpe Ratio over 5 years of GMRS Unhedged Sub-strategy is 0.68, which is greater, thus better compared to the benchmark ACWI (0.51) in the same period.
  • Looking at risk / return profile (Sharpe) in of 1.07 in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively lower, thus worse in comparison to ACWI (1.17).

Sortino:

'The Sortino ratio measures the risk-adjusted return of an investment asset, portfolio, or strategy. It is a modification of the Sharpe ratio but penalizes only those returns falling below a user-specified target or required rate of return, while the Sharpe ratio penalizes both upside and downside volatility equally. Though both ratios measure an investment's risk-adjusted return, they do so in significantly different ways that will frequently lead to differing conclusions as to the true nature of the investment's return-generating efficiency. The Sortino ratio is used as a way to compare the risk-adjusted performance of programs with differing risk and return profiles. In general, risk-adjusted returns seek to normalize the risk across programs and then see which has the higher return unit per risk.'

Which means for our asset as example:
  • Looking at the ratio of annual return and downside deviation of 0.97 in the last 5 years of GMRS Unhedged Sub-strategy, we see it is relatively greater, thus better in comparison to the benchmark ACWI (0.74)
  • During the last 3 years, the downside risk / excess return profile is 1.57, which is smaller, thus worse than the value of 1.74 from the benchmark.

Ulcer:

'The Ulcer Index is a technical indicator that measures downside risk, in terms of both the depth and duration of price declines. The index increases in value as the price moves farther away from a recent high and falls as the price rises to new highs. The indicator is usually calculated over a 14-day period, with the Ulcer Index showing the percentage drawdown a trader can expect from the high over that period. The greater the value of the Ulcer Index, the longer it takes for a stock to get back to the former high.'

Applying this definition to our asset in some examples:
  • Looking at the Ulcer Ratio of 6.53 in the last 5 years of GMRS Unhedged Sub-strategy, we see it is relatively smaller, thus better in comparison to the benchmark ACWI (8.86 )
  • Looking at Ulcer Index in of 3.89 in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively greater, thus worse in comparison to ACWI (3.11 ).

MaxDD:

'A maximum drawdown is the maximum loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio, before a new peak is attained. Maximum Drawdown is an indicator of downside risk over a specified time period. It can be used both as a stand-alone measure or as an input into other metrics such as 'Return over Maximum Drawdown' and the Calmar Ratio. Maximum Drawdown is expressed in percentage terms.'

Using this definition on our asset we see for example:
  • Compared with the benchmark ACWI (-26.4 days) in the period of the last 5 years, the maximum reduction from previous high of -23 days of GMRS Unhedged Sub-strategy is higher, thus better.
  • Looking at maximum reduction from previous high in of -16.1 days in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively greater, thus better in comparison to ACWI (-16.5 days).

MaxDuration:

'The Drawdown Duration is the length of any peak to peak period, or the time between new equity highs. The Max Drawdown Duration is the worst (the maximum/longest) amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs) in days.'

Which means for our asset as example:
  • Looking at the maximum days under water of 286 days in the last 5 years of GMRS Unhedged Sub-strategy, we see it is relatively lower, thus better in comparison to the benchmark ACWI (516 days)
  • Compared with ACWI (94 days) in the period of the last 3 years, the maximum days below previous high of 241 days is larger, thus worse.

AveDuration:

'The Drawdown Duration is the length of any peak to peak period, or the time between new equity highs. The Avg Drawdown Duration is the average amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs), or in other terms the average of time under water of all drawdowns. So in contrast to the Maximum duration it does not measure only one drawdown event but calculates the average of all.'

Using this definition on our asset we see for example:
  • Looking at the average time in days below previous high water mark of 72 days in the last 5 years of GMRS Unhedged Sub-strategy, we see it is relatively smaller, thus better in comparison to the benchmark ACWI (127 days)
  • Looking at average days under water in of 55 days in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively greater, thus worse in comparison to ACWI (17 days).

Performance (YTD)

Historical returns have been extended using synthetic data.

Allocations ()

Allocations

Returns (%)

  • Note that yearly returns do not equal the sum of monthly returns due to compounding.
  • Performance results of GMRS Unhedged Sub-strategy are hypothetical and do not account for slippage, fees or taxes.
  • Results may be based on backtesting, which has many inherent limitations, some of which are described in our Terms of Use.