Global Market Rotation Strategy

TotalReturn:

'Total return, when measuring performance, is the actual rate of return of an investment or a pool of investments over a given evaluation period. Total return includes interest, capital gains, dividends and distributions realized over a given period of time. Total return accounts for two categories of return: income including interest paid by fixed-income investments, distributions or dividends and capital appreciation, representing the change in the market price of an asset.'

• Compared with the benchmark ACWI (70.6%) in the period of the last 5 years, the total return, or increase in value of 56.4% of Global Market Rotation Strategy is smaller, thus worse.
• During the last 3 years, the total return, or performance is 46.2%, which is lower, thus worse than the value of 81.2% from the benchmark.

CAGR:

'The compound annual growth rate isn't a true return rate, but rather a representational figure. It is essentially a number that describes the rate at which an investment would have grown if it had grown the same rate every year and the profits were reinvested at the end of each year. In reality, this sort of performance is unlikely. However, CAGR can be used to smooth returns so that they may be more easily understood when compared to alternative investments.'

• The compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) over 5 years of Global Market Rotation Strategy is 9.4%, which is lower, thus worse compared to the benchmark ACWI (11.3%) in the same period.
• During the last 3 years, the annual return (CAGR) is 13.6%, which is lower, thus worse than the value of 22% from the benchmark.

Volatility:

'In finance, volatility (symbol σ) is the degree of variation of a trading price series over time as measured by the standard deviation of logarithmic returns. Historic volatility measures a time series of past market prices. Implied volatility looks forward in time, being derived from the market price of a market-traded derivative (in particular, an option). Commonly, the higher the volatility, the riskier the security.'

• Compared with the benchmark ACWI (16.3%) in the period of the last 5 years, the 30 days standard deviation of 9.5% of Global Market Rotation Strategy is lower, thus better.
• Compared with ACWI (14.6%) in the period of the last 3 years, the historical 30 days volatility of 10.1% is smaller, thus better.

DownVol:

'Risk measures typically quantify the downside risk, whereas the standard deviation (an example of a deviation risk measure) measures both the upside and downside risk. Specifically, downside risk in our definition is the semi-deviation, that is the standard deviation of all negative returns.'

• Looking at the downside volatility of 6.7% in the last 5 years of Global Market Rotation Strategy, we see it is relatively lower, thus better in comparison to the benchmark ACWI (11.1%)
• During the last 3 years, the downside deviation is 7.2%, which is smaller, thus better than the value of 9.7% from the benchmark.

Sharpe:

'The Sharpe ratio is the measure of risk-adjusted return of a financial portfolio. Sharpe ratio is a measure of excess portfolio return over the risk-free rate relative to its standard deviation. Normally, the 90-day Treasury bill rate is taken as the proxy for risk-free rate. A portfolio with a higher Sharpe ratio is considered superior relative to its peers. The measure was named after William F Sharpe, a Nobel laureate and professor of finance, emeritus at Stanford University.'

• Compared with the benchmark ACWI (0.54) in the period of the last 5 years, the risk / return profile (Sharpe) of 0.73 of Global Market Rotation Strategy is larger, thus better.
• Looking at risk / return profile (Sharpe) in of 1.09 in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively lower, thus worse in comparison to ACWI (1.34).

Sortino:

'The Sortino ratio improves upon the Sharpe ratio by isolating downside volatility from total volatility by dividing excess return by the downside deviation. The Sortino ratio is a variation of the Sharpe ratio that differentiates harmful volatility from total overall volatility by using the asset's standard deviation of negative asset returns, called downside deviation. The Sortino ratio takes the asset's return and subtracts the risk-free rate, and then divides that amount by the asset's downside deviation. The ratio was named after Frank A. Sortino.'

• The ratio of annual return and downside deviation over 5 years of Global Market Rotation Strategy is 1.03, which is larger, thus better compared to the benchmark ACWI (0.79) in the same period.
• Looking at excess return divided by the downside deviation in of 1.55 in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively lower, thus worse in comparison to ACWI (2).

Ulcer:

'The ulcer index is a stock market risk measure or technical analysis indicator devised by Peter Martin in 1987, and published by him and Byron McCann in their 1989 book The Investors Guide to Fidelity Funds. It's designed as a measure of volatility, but only volatility in the downward direction, i.e. the amount of drawdown or retracement occurring over a period. Other volatility measures like standard deviation treat up and down movement equally, but a trader doesn't mind upward movement, it's the downside that causes stress and stomach ulcers that the index's name suggests.'

• The Downside risk index over 5 years of Global Market Rotation Strategy is 3.22 , which is lower, thus better compared to the benchmark ACWI (8.9 ) in the same period.
• Looking at Downside risk index in of 2.19 in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively lower, thus better in comparison to ACWI (2.71 ).

MaxDD:

'A maximum drawdown is the maximum loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio, before a new peak is attained. Maximum Drawdown is an indicator of downside risk over a specified time period. It can be used both as a stand-alone measure or as an input into other metrics such as 'Return over Maximum Drawdown' and the Calmar Ratio. Maximum Drawdown is expressed in percentage terms.'

• Compared with the benchmark ACWI (-26.4 days) in the period of the last 5 years, the maximum DrawDown of -10.4 days of Global Market Rotation Strategy is larger, thus better.
• During the last 3 years, the maximum reduction from previous high is -7.6 days, which is higher, thus better than the value of -16.5 days from the benchmark.

MaxDuration:

'The Maximum Drawdown Duration is an extension of the Maximum Drawdown. However, this metric does not explain the drawdown in dollars or percentages, rather in days, weeks, or months. It is the length of time the account was in the Max Drawdown. A Max Drawdown measures a retrenchment from when an equity curve reaches a new high. It’s the maximum an account lost during that retrenchment. This method is applied because a valley can’t be measured until a new high occurs. Once the new high is reached, the percentage change from the old high to the bottom of the largest trough is recorded.'

• The maximum time in days below previous high water mark over 5 years of Global Market Rotation Strategy is 281 days, which is lower, thus better compared to the benchmark ACWI (516 days) in the same period.
• During the last 3 years, the maximum days under water is 86 days, which is greater, thus worse than the value of 62 days from the benchmark.

AveDuration:

'The Drawdown Duration is the length of any peak to peak period, or the time between new equity highs. The Avg Drawdown Duration is the average amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs), or in other terms the average of time under water of all drawdowns. So in contrast to the Maximum duration it does not measure only one drawdown event but calculates the average of all.'

• Compared with the benchmark ACWI (127 days) in the period of the last 5 years, the average days below previous high of 56 days of Global Market Rotation Strategy is lower, thus better.
• Looking at average days under water in of 22 days in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively larger, thus worse in comparison to ACWI (12 days).