The World Country Top 4 Strategy is a momentum driven strategy that invests in the top four single country ETFs. It will add geographic diversity to your portfolio with significant non-U.S. equity exposure.

The strategy consists of four sub-strategies. Each sub-strategy invests in the best country ETF in a specific geographic area (i.e., Africa, Asia, Latin America, etc). These strategies are then combined to yield four country ETFs that come from different geographic segments, thus avoiding overconcentration. So even if one region is outperforming all the other areas, this strategy will still diversify among three additional top performing regions.

Like our other equity-based strategies, this strategy is hedged with a sub-strategy (HEDGE) that includes, amongst others, safe heaven assets like treasuries and gold.

Country ETFs:

- AFK Market Vectors Africa Index
- ASHR Deutsche X-Trackers CSI 300 China A Shares
- ECH iShares MSCI Chile Fund
- EGPT Market Vectors Egypt Index
- EIDO iShares MSCI Indonesia Index
- EIRL iShares MSCI Ireland Capped
- EIS iShares MSCI Israel
- ENZL iShares MSCI New Zealand Investable Market
- EPHE iShares MSCI Philippines
- EPI WisdomTree India Earnings Index
- EPOL iShares MSCI Poland Index
- EPU iShares MSCI Peru Index
- EWA iShares MSCI Australia Index Fund
- EWC iShares MSCI Canada Index Fund
- EWD iShares MSCI Sweden Index
- EWG iShares MSCI Germany Index
- EWH iShares MSCI Hong Kong Index Fund
- EWI iShares MSCI Italy Index
- EWJ iShares MSCI Japan Index Fund
- EWK iShares MSCI Belgium Index
- EWL iShares MSCI Switzerland
- EWM iShares MSCI Malaysia Index Fund
- EWN iShares MSCI Netherlands Index
- EWO iShares MSCI Austria Index
- EWP iShares MSCI Spain Index
- EWQ iShares MSCI France
- EWS iShares MSCI Singapore Index
- EWT iShares MSCI Taiwan Index Fund
- EWU iShares MSCI United Kingdom Index
- EWW iShares MSCI Mexico Index Fund
- EWY iShares MSCI South Korea Index Fund
- EWZ iShares MSCI Brazil Index Fund
- EZA iShares MSCI South Africa Index
- FM iShares MSCI Frontier Markets ETF
- FRN Guggenheim BNY Mellon Frontier Mkts
- FXI iShares FTSE China 25 Index Fund
- GAF SPDR S&P E.M. Middle East & Africa
- GULF WisdomTree Middle East Dividend Index
- GREK Global X FTSE Greece 20
- GXG Global X Interbolsa FTSE Colombia 20
- IDX Market Vectors Indonesia
- MCHI iShares MSCI China Index
- MES Market Vectors DJ Gulf States (GCC) Titans
- NORW Global X FTSE Norway 30 ETF
- QQQ PowerShares Nasdaq-100 Index
- RSX Market Vectors DAXglobal Russia
- THD iShares MSCI Thailand Index
- TUR iShares MSCI Turkey
- VNM Market Vectors Vietnam

'Total return is the amount of value an investor earns from a security over a specific period, typically one year, when all distributions are reinvested. Total return is expressed as a percentage of the amount invested. For example, a total return of 20% means the security increased by 20% of its original value due to a price increase, distribution of dividends (if a stock), coupons (if a bond) or capital gains (if a fund). Total return is a strong measure of an investment’s overall performance.'

Applying this definition to our asset in some examples:- Compared with the benchmark ACWI (65.2%) in the period of the last 5 years, the total return, or performance of 93.2% of World Top 4 Strategy is higher, thus better.
- During the last 3 years, the total return, or performance is 26.1%, which is greater, thus better than the value of 10.6% from the benchmark.

'Compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is a business and investing specific term for the geometric progression ratio that provides a constant rate of return over the time period. CAGR is not an accounting term, but it is often used to describe some element of the business, for example revenue, units delivered, registered users, etc. CAGR dampens the effect of volatility of periodic returns that can render arithmetic means irrelevant. It is particularly useful to compare growth rates from various data sets of common domain such as revenue growth of companies in the same industry.'

Which means for our asset as example:- Compared with the benchmark ACWI (10.6%) in the period of the last 5 years, the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.1% of World Top 4 Strategy is greater, thus better.
- During the last 3 years, the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) is 8.1%, which is greater, thus better than the value of 3.4% from the benchmark.

'In finance, volatility (symbol σ) is the degree of variation of a trading price series over time as measured by the standard deviation of logarithmic returns. Historic volatility measures a time series of past market prices. Implied volatility looks forward in time, being derived from the market price of a market-traded derivative (in particular, an option). Commonly, the higher the volatility, the riskier the security.'

Using this definition on our asset we see for example:- Looking at the 30 days standard deviation of 8.2% in the last 5 years of World Top 4 Strategy, we see it is relatively smaller, thus better in comparison to the benchmark ACWI (20%)
- Compared with ACWI (16.5%) in the period of the last 3 years, the historical 30 days volatility of 6.7% is lower, thus better.

'The downside volatility is similar to the volatility, or standard deviation, but only takes losing/negative periods into account.'

Applying this definition to our asset in some examples:- The downside volatility over 5 years of World Top 4 Strategy is 5.8%, which is lower, thus better compared to the benchmark ACWI (14.5%) in the same period.
- Compared with ACWI (11.5%) in the period of the last 3 years, the downside deviation of 4.6% is smaller, thus better.

'The Sharpe ratio was developed by Nobel laureate William F. Sharpe, and is used to help investors understand the return of an investment compared to its risk. The ratio is the average return earned in excess of the risk-free rate per unit of volatility or total risk. Subtracting the risk-free rate from the mean return allows an investor to better isolate the profits associated with risk-taking activities. One intuition of this calculation is that a portfolio engaging in 'zero risk' investments, such as the purchase of U.S. Treasury bills (for which the expected return is the risk-free rate), has a Sharpe ratio of exactly zero. Generally, the greater the value of the Sharpe ratio, the more attractive the risk-adjusted return.'

Using this definition on our asset we see for example:- Compared with the benchmark ACWI (0.4) in the period of the last 5 years, the Sharpe Ratio of 1.41 of World Top 4 Strategy is larger, thus better.
- Compared with ACWI (0.06) in the period of the last 3 years, the risk / return profile (Sharpe) of 0.83 is greater, thus better.

'The Sortino ratio improves upon the Sharpe ratio by isolating downside volatility from total volatility by dividing excess return by the downside deviation. The Sortino ratio is a variation of the Sharpe ratio that differentiates harmful volatility from total overall volatility by using the asset's standard deviation of negative asset returns, called downside deviation. The Sortino ratio takes the asset's return and subtracts the risk-free rate, and then divides that amount by the asset's downside deviation. The ratio was named after Frank A. Sortino.'

Using this definition on our asset we see for example:- Compared with the benchmark ACWI (0.56) in the period of the last 5 years, the ratio of annual return and downside deviation of 1.99 of World Top 4 Strategy is greater, thus better.
- During the last 3 years, the downside risk / excess return profile is 1.22, which is higher, thus better than the value of 0.08 from the benchmark.

'The ulcer index is a stock market risk measure or technical analysis indicator devised by Peter Martin in 1987, and published by him and Byron McCann in their 1989 book The Investors Guide to Fidelity Funds. It's designed as a measure of volatility, but only volatility in the downward direction, i.e. the amount of drawdown or retracement occurring over a period. Other volatility measures like standard deviation treat up and down movement equally, but a trader doesn't mind upward movement, it's the downside that causes stress and stomach ulcers that the index's name suggests.'

Applying this definition to our asset in some examples:- Looking at the Ulcer Index of 2.72 in the last 5 years of World Top 4 Strategy, we see it is relatively lower, thus better in comparison to the benchmark ACWI (9.93 )
- Compared with ACWI (11 ) in the period of the last 3 years, the Downside risk index of 2.88 is lower, thus better.

'A maximum drawdown is the maximum loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio, before a new peak is attained. Maximum Drawdown is an indicator of downside risk over a specified time period. It can be used both as a stand-alone measure or as an input into other metrics such as 'Return over Maximum Drawdown' and the Calmar Ratio. Maximum Drawdown is expressed in percentage terms.'

Using this definition on our asset we see for example:- Looking at the maximum DrawDown of -14.6 days in the last 5 years of World Top 4 Strategy, we see it is relatively higher, thus better in comparison to the benchmark ACWI (-33.5 days)
- Compared with ACWI (-26.4 days) in the period of the last 3 years, the maximum drop from peak to valley of -8.1 days is larger, thus better.

'The Maximum Drawdown Duration is an extension of the Maximum Drawdown. However, this metric does not explain the drawdown in dollars or percentages, rather in days, weeks, or months. It is the length of time the account was in the Max Drawdown. A Max Drawdown measures a retrenchment from when an equity curve reaches a new high. It’s the maximum an account lost during that retrenchment. This method is applied because a valley can’t be measured until a new high occurs. Once the new high is reached, the percentage change from the old high to the bottom of the largest trough is recorded.'

Which means for our asset as example:- The maximum days below previous high over 5 years of World Top 4 Strategy is 247 days, which is lower, thus better compared to the benchmark ACWI (516 days) in the same period.
- Compared with ACWI (516 days) in the period of the last 3 years, the maximum days under water of 247 days is lower, thus better.

'The Drawdown Duration is the length of any peak to peak period, or the time between new equity highs. The Avg Drawdown Duration is the average amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs), or in other terms the average of time under water of all drawdowns. So in contrast to the Maximum duration it does not measure only one drawdown event but calculates the average of all.'

Using this definition on our asset we see for example:- Looking at the average days below previous high of 45 days in the last 5 years of World Top 4 Strategy, we see it is relatively smaller, thus better in comparison to the benchmark ACWI (134 days)
- Looking at average days below previous high in of 60 days in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively lower, thus better in comparison to ACWI (194 days).

Historical returns have been extended using synthetic data.
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- Note that yearly returns do not equal the sum of monthly returns due to compounding.
- Performance results of World Top 4 Strategy are hypothetical and do not account for slippage, fees or taxes.
- Results may be based on backtesting, which has many inherent limitations, some of which are described in our Terms of Use.