US Market Strategy

TotalReturn:

'Total return is the amount of value an investor earns from a security over a specific period, typically one year, when all distributions are reinvested. Total return is expressed as a percentage of the amount invested. For example, a total return of 20% means the security increased by 20% of its original value due to a price increase, distribution of dividends (if a stock), coupons (if a bond) or capital gains (if a fund). Total return is a strong measure of an investment’s overall performance.'

• The total return, or performance over 5 years of US Market Strategy is 82.3%, which is higher, thus better compared to the benchmark DIA (74%) in the same period.
• Looking at total return in of 63.4% in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively greater, thus better in comparison to DIA (53.7%).

CAGR:

'Compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is a business and investing specific term for the geometric progression ratio that provides a constant rate of return over the time period. CAGR is not an accounting term, but it is often used to describe some element of the business, for example revenue, units delivered, registered users, etc. CAGR dampens the effect of volatility of periodic returns that can render arithmetic means irrelevant. It is particularly useful to compare growth rates from various data sets of common domain such as revenue growth of companies in the same industry.'

• Looking at the annual performance (CAGR) of 12.8% in the last 5 years of US Market Strategy, we see it is relatively larger, thus better in comparison to the benchmark DIA (11.8%)
• During the last 3 years, the annual return (CAGR) is 17.9%, which is larger, thus better than the value of 15.5% from the benchmark.

Volatility:

'Volatility is a rate at which the price of a security increases or decreases for a given set of returns. Volatility is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time. It shows the range to which the price of a security may increase or decrease. Volatility measures the risk of a security. It is used in option pricing formula to gauge the fluctuations in the returns of the underlying assets. Volatility indicates the pricing behavior of the security and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time.'

• Looking at the volatility of 7.9% in the last 5 years of US Market Strategy, we see it is relatively smaller, thus better in comparison to the benchmark DIA (14.6%)
• During the last 3 years, the 30 days standard deviation is 8.3%, which is lower, thus better than the value of 13.3% from the benchmark.

DownVol:

'Downside risk is the financial risk associated with losses. That is, it is the risk of the actual return being below the expected return, or the uncertainty about the magnitude of that difference. Risk measures typically quantify the downside risk, whereas the standard deviation (an example of a deviation risk measure) measures both the upside and downside risk. Specifically, downside risk in our definition is the semi-deviation, that is the standard deviation of all negative returns.'

• The downside deviation over 5 years of US Market Strategy is 5.5%, which is lower, thus better compared to the benchmark DIA (10.1%) in the same period.
• Compared with DIA (8.9%) in the period of the last 3 years, the downside risk of 5.7% is lower, thus better.

Sharpe:

'The Sharpe ratio is the measure of risk-adjusted return of a financial portfolio. Sharpe ratio is a measure of excess portfolio return over the risk-free rate relative to its standard deviation. Normally, the 90-day Treasury bill rate is taken as the proxy for risk-free rate. A portfolio with a higher Sharpe ratio is considered superior relative to its peers. The measure was named after William F Sharpe, a Nobel laureate and professor of finance, emeritus at Stanford University.'

• Compared with the benchmark DIA (0.63) in the period of the last 5 years, the risk / return profile (Sharpe) of 1.3 of US Market Strategy is larger, thus better.
• Looking at risk / return profile (Sharpe) in of 1.85 in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively larger, thus better in comparison to DIA (0.98).

Sortino:

'The Sortino ratio, a variation of the Sharpe ratio only factors in the downside, or negative volatility, rather than the total volatility used in calculating the Sharpe ratio. The theory behind the Sortino variation is that upside volatility is a plus for the investment, and it, therefore, should not be included in the risk calculation. Therefore, the Sortino ratio takes upside volatility out of the equation and uses only the downside standard deviation in its calculation instead of the total standard deviation that is used in calculating the Sharpe ratio.'

• Compared with the benchmark DIA (0.92) in the period of the last 5 years, the excess return divided by the downside deviation of 1.88 of US Market Strategy is higher, thus better.
• Compared with DIA (1.46) in the period of the last 3 years, the excess return divided by the downside deviation of 2.7 is larger, thus better.

Ulcer:

'The Ulcer Index is a technical indicator that measures downside risk, in terms of both the depth and duration of price declines. The index increases in value as the price moves farther away from a recent high and falls as the price rises to new highs. The indicator is usually calculated over a 14-day period, with the Ulcer Index showing the percentage drawdown a trader can expect from the high over that period. The greater the value of the Ulcer Index, the longer it takes for a stock to get back to the former high.'

• Compared with the benchmark DIA (5.93 ) in the period of the last 5 years, the Downside risk index of 2.48 of US Market Strategy is lower, thus better.
• Looking at Ulcer Ratio in of 1.43 in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively smaller, thus better in comparison to DIA (3.43 ).

MaxDD:

'A maximum drawdown is the maximum loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio, before a new peak is attained. Maximum Drawdown is an indicator of downside risk over a specified time period. It can be used both as a stand-alone measure or as an input into other metrics such as 'Return over Maximum Drawdown' and the Calmar Ratio. Maximum Drawdown is expressed in percentage terms.'

• Compared with the benchmark DIA (-20.8 days) in the period of the last 5 years, the maximum DrawDown of -9.2 days of US Market Strategy is larger, thus better.
• Compared with DIA (-16 days) in the period of the last 3 years, the maximum drop from peak to valley of -6.8 days is larger, thus better.

MaxDuration:

'The Drawdown Duration is the length of any peak to peak period, or the time between new equity highs. The Max Drawdown Duration is the worst (the maximum/longest) amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs). Many assume Max DD Duration is the length of time between new highs during which the Max DD (magnitude) occurred. But that isn’t always the case. The Max DD duration is the longest time between peaks, period. So it could be the time when the program also had its biggest peak to valley loss (and usually is, because the program needs a long time to recover from the largest loss), but it doesn’t have to be'

• The maximum days under water over 5 years of US Market Strategy is 261 days, which is lower, thus better compared to the benchmark DIA (477 days) in the same period.
• During the last 3 years, the maximum days under water is 77 days, which is lower, thus better than the value of 142 days from the benchmark.

AveDuration:

'The Drawdown Duration is the length of any peak to peak period, or the time between new equity highs. The Avg Drawdown Duration is the average amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs), or in other terms the average of time under water of all drawdowns. So in contrast to the Maximum duration it does not measure only one drawdown event but calculates the average of all.'

• The average days under water over 5 years of US Market Strategy is 47 days, which is lower, thus better compared to the benchmark DIA (116 days) in the same period.
• During the last 3 years, the average days under water is 15 days, which is smaller, thus better than the value of 28 days from the benchmark.