US Market Strategy

TotalReturn:

'Total return is the amount of value an investor earns from a security over a specific period, typically one year, when all distributions are reinvested. Total return is expressed as a percentage of the amount invested. For example, a total return of 20% means the security increased by 20% of its original value due to a price increase, distribution of dividends (if a stock), coupons (if a bond) or capital gains (if a fund). Total return is a strong measure of an investment’s overall performance.'

• Looking at the total return, or performance of 71.4% in the last 5 years of US Market Strategy, we see it is relatively higher, thus better in comparison to the benchmark DIA (62.2%)
• Looking at total return, or performance in of 55% in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively lower, thus worse in comparison to DIA (59.7%).

CAGR:

'Compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is a business and investing specific term for the geometric progression ratio that provides a constant rate of return over the time period. CAGR is not an accounting term, but it is often used to describe some element of the business, for example revenue, units delivered, registered users, etc. CAGR dampens the effect of volatility of periodic returns that can render arithmetic means irrelevant. It is particularly useful to compare growth rates from various data sets of common domain such as revenue growth of companies in the same industry.'

• Compared with the benchmark DIA (10.2%) in the period of the last 5 years, the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.4% of US Market Strategy is greater, thus better.
• During the last 3 years, the annual return (CAGR) is 15.8%, which is lower, thus worse than the value of 17% from the benchmark.

Volatility:

'Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index. Volatility can either be measured by using the standard deviation or variance between returns from that same security or market index. Commonly, the higher the volatility, the riskier the security. In the securities markets, volatility is often associated with big swings in either direction. For example, when the stock market rises and falls more than one percent over a sustained period of time, it is called a 'volatile' market.'

• Compared with the benchmark DIA (14.8%) in the period of the last 5 years, the historical 30 days volatility of 8.3% of US Market Strategy is smaller, thus better.
• Looking at 30 days standard deviation in of 8.7% in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively lower, thus better in comparison to DIA (13.7%).

DownVol:

'Downside risk is the financial risk associated with losses. That is, it is the risk of the actual return being below the expected return, or the uncertainty about the magnitude of that difference. Risk measures typically quantify the downside risk, whereas the standard deviation (an example of a deviation risk measure) measures both the upside and downside risk. Specifically, downside risk in our definition is the semi-deviation, that is the standard deviation of all negative returns.'

• The downside volatility over 5 years of US Market Strategy is 5.7%, which is smaller, thus better compared to the benchmark DIA (10.2%) in the same period.
• During the last 3 years, the downside risk is 6%, which is smaller, thus better than the value of 9.1% from the benchmark.

Sharpe:

'The Sharpe ratio was developed by Nobel laureate William F. Sharpe, and is used to help investors understand the return of an investment compared to its risk. The ratio is the average return earned in excess of the risk-free rate per unit of volatility or total risk. Subtracting the risk-free rate from the mean return allows an investor to better isolate the profits associated with risk-taking activities. One intuition of this calculation is that a portfolio engaging in 'zero risk' investments, such as the purchase of U.S. Treasury bills (for which the expected return is the risk-free rate), has a Sharpe ratio of exactly zero. Generally, the greater the value of the Sharpe ratio, the more attractive the risk-adjusted return.'

• Compared with the benchmark DIA (0.52) in the period of the last 5 years, the Sharpe Ratio of 1.08 of US Market Strategy is larger, thus better.
• Looking at ratio of return and volatility (Sharpe) in of 1.53 in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively higher, thus better in comparison to DIA (1.06).

Sortino:

'The Sortino ratio measures the risk-adjusted return of an investment asset, portfolio, or strategy. It is a modification of the Sharpe ratio but penalizes only those returns falling below a user-specified target or required rate of return, while the Sharpe ratio penalizes both upside and downside volatility equally. Though both ratios measure an investment's risk-adjusted return, they do so in significantly different ways that will frequently lead to differing conclusions as to the true nature of the investment's return-generating efficiency. The Sortino ratio is used as a way to compare the risk-adjusted performance of programs with differing risk and return profiles. In general, risk-adjusted returns seek to normalize the risk across programs and then see which has the higher return unit per risk.'

• Looking at the ratio of annual return and downside deviation of 1.56 in the last 5 years of US Market Strategy, we see it is relatively higher, thus better in comparison to the benchmark DIA (0.76)
• Looking at ratio of annual return and downside deviation in of 2.2 in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively higher, thus better in comparison to DIA (1.59).

Ulcer:

'The Ulcer Index is a technical indicator that measures downside risk, in terms of both the depth and duration of price declines. The index increases in value as the price moves farther away from a recent high and falls as the price rises to new highs. The indicator is usually calculated over a 14-day period, with the Ulcer Index showing the percentage drawdown a trader can expect from the high over that period. The greater the value of the Ulcer Index, the longer it takes for a stock to get back to the former high.'

• Compared with the benchmark DIA (6.01 ) in the period of the last 5 years, the Downside risk index of 2.66 of US Market Strategy is lower, thus better.
• Compared with DIA (3.35 ) in the period of the last 3 years, the Downside risk index of 1.81 is lower, thus better.

MaxDD:

'Maximum drawdown is defined as the peak-to-trough decline of an investment during a specific period. It is usually quoted as a percentage of the peak value. The maximum drawdown can be calculated based on absolute returns, in order to identify strategies that suffer less during market downturns, such as low-volatility strategies. However, the maximum drawdown can also be calculated based on returns relative to a benchmark index, for identifying strategies that show steady outperformance over time.'

• Compared with the benchmark DIA (-20.8 days) in the period of the last 5 years, the maximum DrawDown of -9.2 days of US Market Strategy is greater, thus better.
• Looking at maximum reduction from previous high in of -6.8 days in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively higher, thus better in comparison to DIA (-16 days).

MaxDuration:

'The Drawdown Duration is the length of any peak to peak period, or the time between new equity highs. The Max Drawdown Duration is the worst (the maximum/longest) amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs). Many assume Max DD Duration is the length of time between new highs during which the Max DD (magnitude) occurred. But that isn’t always the case. The Max DD duration is the longest time between peaks, period. So it could be the time when the program also had its biggest peak to valley loss (and usually is, because the program needs a long time to recover from the largest loss), but it doesn’t have to be'

• The maximum time in days below previous high water mark over 5 years of US Market Strategy is 261 days, which is lower, thus better compared to the benchmark DIA (477 days) in the same period.
• Compared with DIA (142 days) in the period of the last 3 years, the maximum days below previous high of 80 days is lower, thus better.

AveDuration:

'The Drawdown Duration is the length of any peak to peak period, or the time between new equity highs. The Avg Drawdown Duration is the average amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs), or in other terms the average of time under water of all drawdowns. So in contrast to the Maximum duration it does not measure only one drawdown event but calculates the average of all.'

• The average days below previous high over 5 years of US Market Strategy is 49 days, which is smaller, thus better compared to the benchmark DIA (116 days) in the same period.
• Looking at average days under water in of 17 days in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively lower, thus better in comparison to DIA (26 days).