Description

The investment seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 300% of the daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. The fund, under normal circumstances, invests at least 80% of its net assets (plus borrowing for investment purposes) in financial instruments and securities of the index, ETFs that track the index and other financial instruments that provide daily leveraged exposure to the index or ETFs that track the index. The index is a market value weighted index that includes publicly issued U.S. Treasury securities that have a remaining maturity of greater than 20 years. The fund is non-diversified.

Statistics (YTD)

What do these metrics mean? [Read More] [Hide]

TotalReturn:

'Total return, when measuring performance, is the actual rate of return of an investment or a pool of investments over a given evaluation period. Total return includes interest, capital gains, dividends and distributions realized over a given period of time. Total return accounts for two categories of return: income including interest paid by fixed-income investments, distributions or dividends and capital appreciation, representing the change in the market price of an asset.'

Applying this definition to our asset in some examples:
  • Looking at the total return of -90.7% in the last 5 years of Direxion Daily 20-Yr Treasury Bull 3x, we see it is relatively lower, thus worse in comparison to the benchmark SPY (106.3%)
  • Looking at total return in of -71.3% in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively lower, thus worse in comparison to SPY (31.3%).

CAGR:

'Compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is a business and investing specific term for the geometric progression ratio that provides a constant rate of return over the time period. CAGR is not an accounting term, but it is often used to describe some element of the business, for example revenue, units delivered, registered users, etc. CAGR dampens the effect of volatility of periodic returns that can render arithmetic means irrelevant. It is particularly useful to compare growth rates from various data sets of common domain such as revenue growth of companies in the same industry.'

Applying this definition to our asset in some examples:
  • The annual return (CAGR) over 5 years of Direxion Daily 20-Yr Treasury Bull 3x is -37.9%, which is lower, thus worse compared to the benchmark SPY (15.6%) in the same period.
  • During the last 3 years, the annual performance (CAGR) is -34.2%, which is smaller, thus worse than the value of 9.6% from the benchmark.

Volatility:

'Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index. Volatility can either be measured by using the standard deviation or variance between returns from that same security or market index. Commonly, the higher the volatility, the riskier the security. In the securities markets, volatility is often associated with big swings in either direction. For example, when the stock market rises and falls more than one percent over a sustained period of time, it is called a 'volatile' market.'

Which means for our asset as example:
  • Looking at the volatility of 48.1% in the last 5 years of Direxion Daily 20-Yr Treasury Bull 3x, we see it is relatively larger, thus worse in comparison to the benchmark SPY (18%)
  • During the last 3 years, the 30 days standard deviation is 51.4%, which is greater, thus worse than the value of 18.8% from the benchmark.

DownVol:

'The downside volatility is similar to the volatility, or standard deviation, but only takes losing/negative periods into account.'

Using this definition on our asset we see for example:
  • Compared with the benchmark SPY (12.5%) in the period of the last 5 years, the downside deviation of 35.2% of Direxion Daily 20-Yr Treasury Bull 3x is greater, thus worse.
  • During the last 3 years, the downside volatility is 37.2%, which is greater, thus worse than the value of 13% from the benchmark.

Sharpe:

'The Sharpe ratio is the measure of risk-adjusted return of a financial portfolio. Sharpe ratio is a measure of excess portfolio return over the risk-free rate relative to its standard deviation. Normally, the 90-day Treasury bill rate is taken as the proxy for risk-free rate. A portfolio with a higher Sharpe ratio is considered superior relative to its peers. The measure was named after William F Sharpe, a Nobel laureate and professor of finance, emeritus at Stanford University.'

Using this definition on our asset we see for example:
  • Looking at the risk / return profile (Sharpe) of -0.84 in the last 5 years of Direxion Daily 20-Yr Treasury Bull 3x, we see it is relatively lower, thus worse in comparison to the benchmark SPY (0.73)
  • During the last 3 years, the risk / return profile (Sharpe) is -0.71, which is lower, thus worse than the value of 0.37 from the benchmark.

Sortino:

'The Sortino ratio, a variation of the Sharpe ratio only factors in the downside, or negative volatility, rather than the total volatility used in calculating the Sharpe ratio. The theory behind the Sortino variation is that upside volatility is a plus for the investment, and it, therefore, should not be included in the risk calculation. Therefore, the Sortino ratio takes upside volatility out of the equation and uses only the downside standard deviation in its calculation instead of the total standard deviation that is used in calculating the Sharpe ratio.'

Applying this definition to our asset in some examples:
  • The ratio of annual return and downside deviation over 5 years of Direxion Daily 20-Yr Treasury Bull 3x is -1.15, which is lower, thus worse compared to the benchmark SPY (1.05) in the same period.
  • Looking at downside risk / excess return profile in of -0.98 in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively lower, thus worse in comparison to SPY (0.54).

Ulcer:

'The Ulcer Index is a technical indicator that measures downside risk, in terms of both the depth and duration of price declines. The index increases in value as the price moves farther away from a recent high and falls as the price rises to new highs. The indicator is usually calculated over a 14-day period, with the Ulcer Index showing the percentage drawdown a trader can expect from the high over that period. The greater the value of the Ulcer Index, the longer it takes for a stock to get back to the former high.'

Which means for our asset as example:
  • Compared with the benchmark SPY (8.44 ) in the period of the last 5 years, the Ulcer Index of 70 of Direxion Daily 20-Yr Treasury Bull 3x is greater, thus worse.
  • Looking at Downside risk index in of 56 in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively larger, thus worse in comparison to SPY (5.72 ).

MaxDD:

'Maximum drawdown measures the loss in any losing period during a fund’s investment record. It is defined as the percent retrenchment from a fund’s peak value to the fund’s valley value. The drawdown is in effect from the time the fund’s retrenchment begins until a new fund high is reached. The maximum drawdown encompasses both the period from the fund’s peak to the fund’s valley (length), and the time from the fund’s valley to a new fund high (recovery). It measures the largest percentage drawdown that has occurred in any fund’s data record.'

Applying this definition to our asset in some examples:
  • Compared with the benchmark SPY (-24.5 days) in the period of the last 5 years, the maximum DrawDown of -91.3 days of Direxion Daily 20-Yr Treasury Bull 3x is smaller, thus worse.
  • During the last 3 years, the maximum DrawDown is -74.3 days, which is lower, thus worse than the value of -18.8 days from the benchmark.

MaxDuration:

'The Drawdown Duration is the length of any peak to peak period, or the time between new equity highs. The Max Drawdown Duration is the worst (the maximum/longest) amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs) in days.'

Using this definition on our asset we see for example:
  • Compared with the benchmark SPY (488 days) in the period of the last 5 years, the maximum time in days below previous high water mark of 1185 days of Direxion Daily 20-Yr Treasury Bull 3x is higher, thus worse.
  • During the last 3 years, the maximum days under water is 750 days, which is larger, thus worse than the value of 199 days from the benchmark.

AveDuration:

'The Average Drawdown Duration is an extension of the Maximum Drawdown. However, this metric does not explain the drawdown in dollars or percentages, rather in days, weeks, or months. The Avg Drawdown Duration is the average amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs), or in other terms the average of time under water of all drawdowns. So in contrast to the Maximum duration it does not measure only one drawdown event but calculates the average of all.'

Applying this definition to our asset in some examples:
  • Looking at the average days under water of 562 days in the last 5 years of Direxion Daily 20-Yr Treasury Bull 3x, we see it is relatively greater, thus worse in comparison to the benchmark SPY (119 days)
  • Looking at average days below previous high in of 376 days in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively higher, thus worse in comparison to SPY (45 days).

Performance (YTD)

Historical returns have been extended using synthetic data.

Allocations ()

Allocations

Returns (%)

  • Note that yearly returns do not equal the sum of monthly returns due to compounding.
  • Performance results of Direxion Daily 20-Yr Treasury Bull 3x are hypothetical and do not account for slippage, fees or taxes.