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The Logical-Invest newsletter for February 2019

Our top 3 strategies this past month: Leveraged Universal Investment strategy with +7.5% return. Maximum Yield strategy at +4.3% U.S. Sector strategy (free to subscribe) at +3.1% News: Alex's new post describes the process of blending Portfolios (rather than Strategies or ETFs) using the Portfolio Builder. Bouncing into 2019 Three fundamental trends to watch as 2019 unfolds: The first trend includes the reversal of QE in the U.S, the end of the asset purchase program of the ECB and the decrease of liquidity of most other major central banks. Less money [...]

The Logical-Invest monthly newsletter for December 2018

Logical Invest Investment Outlook December 2018   The graph below is from a recent Bloomberg article entitled "A Brutal Global Market in 2018 Has Just One Champion". That one champion, according to the article, was Treasury bills. It goes on to say: "By one simple measure, this is the worst cross-asset performance in more than a century". Below you can see 89% of all assets had negative performances year-to-date (as of Nov. 22). This may be an exaggeration but it goes to show we are in a difficult market. Volatility is [...]

Logical-Invest Investment Strategy changes for 2019

We have made some quite important changes to the Logical Invest strategies for 2019. Please note that the January strategy allocations will be calculated based on these updated strategies. 401 / IRA compliant base strategies The new strategies will not use leveraged or inverse ETFs, making them and the portfolios derived from them, more 401 / IRA friendly. The changes have been backtested and do not reduce the performance of the strategies due to a well redesigned new hedging strategy. New hedging strategy The hedging strategy is a very [...]

The Logical-Invest newsletter for January 2019

Must reads: Frank Grossmann’s article “How to Hedge in Times of Market Trouble” (Seeking Alpha, LI Blog) 2019 strategy updates (LI Blog) Protecting your money After almost 10 years of a continuous bull market and 2 years of exceptional growth (2016-2017), 2018 was the first year that the SP500 turned negative. Apart from the dollar index, most asset classes also fell. To make things worse, the S&P500 dropped -20% from the September highs during what is traditionally the best 3 months of the year. Although unfortunate, it does create a rare [...]

The Logical-Invest monthly newsletter for October 2016

Special topic: Passive Investment Logical Invest Investment Outlook October 2016 Our top year-to-date strategies: The Leveraged Universal strategy with 36.47% return. The Maximum Yield strategy with 36.37% return.  The World Top 4 with 19.82% return. SPY, the S&P500 ETF, returned 7.74%, year-to-date. News: Introducing Richard´s Corner, a new Logical Invest User Community, moderated by Richard Manley. Richard is  a long time user and critical commenter of our services. Subjects range from making the best of your 401K , using Fidelity or Vanguard funds to using our various tools, including our new QUANTtrader software. Coming soon in QUANTtrader: Reduced pricing for non-professionals as well as AUM [...]

The Logical-Invest monthly newsletter for January 2018

Logical Invest Investment Outlook January 2018 Our top 2017 investment strategies: The Maximum Yield strategy with 64.84% return. The Leveraged Universal strategy with 49.13% return.   The NASDAQ 100 strategy with 28.30% return. SPY, the S&P500 ETF, returned 21.70%. News: All-Strategy subscribers will be able to use QuantTrader 'Light' at no additional charge. Market comment: As we mentioned in our year-end review, the past year was characterized by large returns in U.S. and foreign markets and sustained low volatility despite an increase in geopolitical risk. The S&P 500 (ETF: SPY) returned 21%, Europe (ETF: FEZ) 24% and emerging markets [...]

The Logical-Invest monthly newsletter for November 2016

Special Topic: IRA Investments using QuantTrader, our Backtest Software Logical Invest Investment Outlook November 2016 Our top year-to-date strategies: The Maximum Yield strategy with 32.61% return. The Leveraged Universal strategy with 21.42% return.   The World Top 4 with 17.66% return. SPY, the S&P500 ETF, returned 5.87%, year-to-date. Market comment: Recent surveys show that fund managers have increased cash positions1 while outflows from equity funds are at historically high levels2. From a contrarian point of view this could be considered market positive. There are two bullish seasonal biases kicking in: The presidential year is nearing an end [...]

The Logical-Invest monthly newsletter for February 2018

Logical Invest Investment Outlook February 2018 Our top 2018 investment strategies, year-to-date : The Leveraged Universal strategy with +8.93% return.   The NASDAQ 100 strategy with +8.59% return.  The U.S. sector strategy with +4.39% return. SPY, the S&P500 ETF, returned +5.64%. News: QuantTrader Light is available to all subscribers, even to single strategy ones. Just download a copy and login with your LI username/password. Depending on your subscription level you will be able to access the corresponding strategies. This gives you the opportunity to update your portfolio during the last day of the month. Major strategy update: [...]

Update Portfolio Builder: Now including Universal Investment Strategy with 3x leverage

By request of several followers, we have now included the version with 3x leverage of the Universal Investment Strategy using synthetic SPXL and TMF data from 2002. Portfolio Builder now with leverage We're about to publish a full article on this exciting option for this weekend, but want to pre-alert you about this upcoming adition. While this is a very aggressive strategy with leverage, it blends very nicely with a 10%-20% allocation into a portfolio targeting Maximum annual return with a 10% or 20% volatility constraint. We have therefore also [...]

The Logical-Invest monthly newsletter for December 2016

Special Topic: IRA investment using QuantTrader Logical Invest Investment Outlook December 2016 Our top year-to-date strategies: The Maximum Yield strategy with 30.27% return. The Leveraged Universal strategy with 17.73% return.   The NASDAQ 100 strategy with 15.19% return. SPY, the S&P500 ETF, returned 9.77%, year-to-date. NEWS: Enhancement of the Treasury hedge in our strategies (link).   Market comment: Presidents change, markets change and so do we. As our subscribers know well, Treasuries have been a cornerstone of our strategies. For the last few months many investors remained sceptical as 0% interest rates meant there was only one way for rates to [...]