BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy

TotalReturn:

'Total return, when measuring performance, is the actual rate of return of an investment or a pool of investments over a given evaluation period. Total return includes interest, capital gains, dividends and distributions realized over a given period of time. Total return accounts for two categories of return: income including interest paid by fixed-income investments, distributions or dividends and capital appreciation, representing the change in the market price of an asset.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (-0.4%) in the period of the last 5 years, the total return, or performance of 60.2% of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is larger, thus better.
• During the last 3 years, the total return is 7.6%, which is greater, thus better than the value of -10.2% from the benchmark.

CAGR:

'The compound annual growth rate isn't a true return rate, but rather a representational figure. It is essentially a number that describes the rate at which an investment would have grown if it had grown the same rate every year and the profits were reinvested at the end of each year. In reality, this sort of performance is unlikely. However, CAGR can be used to smooth returns so that they may be more easily understood when compared to alternative investments.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (-0.1%) in the period of the last 5 years, the annual performance (CAGR) of 9.9% of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is larger, thus better.
• During the last 3 years, the annual performance (CAGR) is 2.5%, which is larger, thus better than the value of -3.5% from the benchmark.

Volatility:

'Volatility is a rate at which the price of a security increases or decreases for a given set of returns. Volatility is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time. It shows the range to which the price of a security may increase or decrease. Volatility measures the risk of a security. It is used in option pricing formula to gauge the fluctuations in the returns of the underlying assets. Volatility indicates the pricing behavior of the security and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (6.7%) in the period of the last 5 years, the volatility of 8.6% of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is larger, thus worse.
• Looking at historical 30 days volatility in of 6.2% in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively smaller, thus better in comparison to AGG (6.8%).

DownVol:

'Risk measures typically quantify the downside risk, whereas the standard deviation (an example of a deviation risk measure) measures both the upside and downside risk. Specifically, downside risk in our definition is the semi-deviation, that is the standard deviation of all negative returns.'

• Looking at the downside volatility of 6.4% in the last 5 years of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy, we see it is relatively higher, thus worse in comparison to the benchmark AGG (4.9%)
• Compared with AGG (4.9%) in the period of the last 3 years, the downside risk of 4.5% is lower, thus better.

Sharpe:

'The Sharpe ratio (also known as the Sharpe index, the Sharpe measure, and the reward-to-variability ratio) is a way to examine the performance of an investment by adjusting for its risk. The ratio measures the excess return (or risk premium) per unit of deviation in an investment asset or a trading strategy, typically referred to as risk, named after William F. Sharpe.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (-0.39) in the period of the last 5 years, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.86 of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is larger, thus better.
• Looking at risk / return profile (Sharpe) in of 0 in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively greater, thus better in comparison to AGG (-0.89).

Sortino:

'The Sortino ratio, a variation of the Sharpe ratio only factors in the downside, or negative volatility, rather than the total volatility used in calculating the Sharpe ratio. The theory behind the Sortino variation is that upside volatility is a plus for the investment, and it, therefore, should not be included in the risk calculation. Therefore, the Sortino ratio takes upside volatility out of the equation and uses only the downside standard deviation in its calculation instead of the total standard deviation that is used in calculating the Sharpe ratio.'

• Looking at the excess return divided by the downside deviation of 1.15 in the last 5 years of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy, we see it is relatively larger, thus better in comparison to the benchmark AGG (-0.52)
• Looking at downside risk / excess return profile in of -0.01 in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively larger, thus better in comparison to AGG (-1.24).

Ulcer:

'The ulcer index is a stock market risk measure or technical analysis indicator devised by Peter Martin in 1987, and published by him and Byron McCann in their 1989 book The Investors Guide to Fidelity Funds. It's designed as a measure of volatility, but only volatility in the downward direction, i.e. the amount of drawdown or retracement occurring over a period. Other volatility measures like standard deviation treat up and down movement equally, but a trader doesn't mind upward movement, it's the downside that causes stress and stomach ulcers that the index's name suggests.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (8.59 ) in the period of the last 5 years, the Ulcer Ratio of 4.91 of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is lower, thus better.
• Looking at Ulcer Ratio in of 5.65 in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively smaller, thus better in comparison to AGG (10 ).

MaxDD:

'Maximum drawdown measures the loss in any losing period during a fund’s investment record. It is defined as the percent retrenchment from a fund’s peak value to the fund’s valley value. The drawdown is in effect from the time the fund’s retrenchment begins until a new fund high is reached. The maximum drawdown encompasses both the period from the fund’s peak to the fund’s valley (length), and the time from the fund’s valley to a new fund high (recovery). It measures the largest percentage drawdown that has occurred in any fund’s data record.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (-18.4 days) in the period of the last 5 years, the maximum reduction from previous high of -19.3 days of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is smaller, thus worse.
• Compared with AGG (-17.8 days) in the period of the last 3 years, the maximum reduction from previous high of -11 days is higher, thus better.

MaxDuration:

'The Drawdown Duration is the length of any peak to peak period, or the time between new equity highs. The Max Drawdown Duration is the worst (the maximum/longest) amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs). Many assume Max DD Duration is the length of time between new highs during which the Max DD (magnitude) occurred. But that isn’t always the case. The Max DD duration is the longest time between peaks, period. So it could be the time when the program also had its biggest peak to valley loss (and usually is, because the program needs a long time to recover from the largest loss), but it doesn’t have to be'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (932 days) in the period of the last 5 years, the maximum days under water of 545 days of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is smaller, thus better.
• Looking at maximum time in days below previous high water mark in of 545 days in the period of the last 3 years, we see it is relatively smaller, thus better in comparison to AGG (681 days).

AveDuration:

'The Drawdown Duration is the length of any peak to peak period, or the time between new equity highs. The Avg Drawdown Duration is the average amount of time an investment has seen between peaks (equity highs), or in other terms the average of time under water of all drawdowns. So in contrast to the Maximum duration it does not measure only one drawdown event but calculates the average of all.'

• Compared with the benchmark AGG (374 days) in the period of the last 5 years, the average days below previous high of 148 days of BUG Permanent Portfolio Strategy is smaller, thus better.
• Compared with AGG (315 days) in the period of the last 3 years, the average days under water of 215 days is lower, thus better.